Trump’s Long Game: The Abraham Accords, Iran, and the Global War in Ukraine

03/03/2026
By Robbin Laird Among the many charges levelled at Donald Trump, that he is impulsive, inconsistent, transactional, hostile to alliances, one rarely examined proposition cuts in a different direction: that across both of his terms in office, Trump has pursued a strikingly coherent strategic objective. That objective is the containment…

Competitive Coexistence, the ‘Fight Tonight’ Force and Australia’s Growing Multipolar Predicament

02/28/2026
By: Stephen Kuper Just as the Cold War was characterised by a period of “Competitive Coexistence” between the United States and the Soviet Union, our new multipolar world embodies this in a significantly more complex way, presenting significant challenges for Australia and its “Fight Tonight” force. Human history has been…

The Fight Tonight Paradigm: Adapting to Compressed Timelines in Modern Warfare

02/19/2026
By Robbin Laird The fundamental assumptions underpinning Western defense planning are collapsing. For generations, democratic nations operated under the comfortable presumption that major conflicts would arrive with ample warning, years, perhaps a decade, to mobilize industrial capacity, train forces, and prepare society for war. This strategic cushion has evaporated. The…

From Crisis Management to Chaos Management: AI and the Collapse of Strategic Predictability

02/17/2026
By Robbin Laird For decades, national security establishments have organized around crisis management or the structured response to disruptions within fundamentally stable systems. The Cuban Missile Crisis, though terrifying, operated within understood parameters: known actors, measurable capabilities, calculable escalation ladders. Even the most dangerous moments followed a logic that skilled…

Testing Middle Power Theory: Brazil and Australia’s China Relationships in the Emerging Geopolitical Order

02/11/2026
By Robbin Laird February 7, 2026, The Wall Street Journal published an interesting article entitled, Squeezed by U.S. and China, the World’s Middle Powers are Teaming Up. Upon reading this article, I wanted to take that assessment and compare it to the findings in my forthcoming book with Ken Maxwell…