By Murielle Delaporte
President Macron’s address to the French on March 5, 2025[1] echoes the speeches of his predecessors, who tirelessly fought for an autonomous and sovereign defense, or at least the most sovereign defense possible in view of global economic constraints and realities.
General de Gaulle’s vision of a strong defense industrial base and nuclear deterrence enabling us to hold our head high in the post-war decades is an opportunity today, even if the dividends of peace have somewhat weakened it.
But the legacy and the spirit have always prevailed, whether in the pursuit of our comprehensive army model enabling us to be present in external theatres and be respected there, or in being pioneers in Europe in the development of a cyber strategy or a space defence strategy, new battlefield fields unfortunately confirmed for the 21st century.
The post-war reshuffle, which is currently underway and has been going on for a number of years now, is also in line with NATO’s enlargement from 12 to 32 members between 1949 and 2024[2], on the one hand, and the rise of China, whose rearmament is a cause for concern in Washington[3], on the other.
Rather than talking about a transatlantic rift, such as the “excessive warmongers” and “excessive defeatists” – to use the expression of President Macron in his speech – tends to depict the current situation, it seems more realistic to talk about a readjustment of the sharing of burdens and responsibilities within an Atlantic Alliance that still has its say.
This is what has been desired on both sides of the Atlantic for decades – in any case in France constantly and in the United States more sporadically depending on the different presidents from Kennedy to Trump today.
The overall objectives are therefore now aligned so that the American contribution to NATO, currently estimated at around 64% of the total budget, can be partly redirected to face other threats – just as real – on its western front[4] and a true European defense can emerge.
As for the nature of Washington’s support for Ukraine, it is still too early to know what will happen – in one direction or another – at the end of the peace negotiations with Moscow and depending on how they progress, if they are confirmed.
What we must remember, however, are the ups and downs that have regularly punctuated the history of NATO and especially Franco-American relations since the post-war period: the current disagreements over Ukraine are in many ways similar to the Suez crisis, the reaction of the Americans during our wars of decolonization (Indochina and Algeria), or more recently the Euromissiles crisis under the Reagan administration (a de facto president as hated and booed by the media of the time as Donald Trump is today)[5], or even the differences between the two nations over the war in Iraq.
Americans and Europeans are different and have the right to disagree on everything, but that does not mean an all-or-nothing policy. Only their common enemies have an interest in a decoupling between Allies who were celebrating their 75th anniversary a few months ago and who have gone through many similar crises year in and year out since the end of the Second World War.
Let’s keep our fingers crossed that the same will be true today and that this transition towards a rebalancing of NATO will take place in a harmonious and natural way.
Notes and references:
[1] https://www.elysee.fr/front/pdf/elysee-module-24161-fr.pdf
[2] https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/topics_52044.htm
[3] See for example on this subject: https://www.iiss.org/online-analysis/military-balance/2024/05/asian-defence-spending-grows-chinas-grows-more/; or the Pentagon analysis >>> https://media.defense.gov/2024/Dec/18/2003615520/-1/-1/0/MILITARY-AND-SECURITY-DEVELOPMENTS-INVOLVING-THE-PEOPLES-REPUBLIC-OF-CHINA-2024.PDF
[4] https://www.nato.int/nato_static_fl2014/assets/pdf/2024/6/pdf/240617-def-exp-2024-fr.pdf ; see also: https://www.nato.int/nato_static_fl2014/assets/pdf/2024/6/pdf/240617-def-exp-2024-fr.pdf
[5] See: Murielle Delaporte, La politique étrangère depuis 1945 : l’Amérique à la croisée de l’Histoire, pages 67 to 79 in particular >>> https://www.fnac. com/a147470/Murielle-Delaporte-La-politique-etrangere-americaine-depuis-1945-l-Amerique-a-la-croisee-de-l-histoire – or the PDF extract >>> Extract pages 67 to 71 La politique etrangere americaine depuis 1945 DELAPORTE
This was published on 6 March 2025 in French on Operationnels.