The “Five Eyes” and Managing Strategic Dependency on China

05/26/2020

Our colleague John Blackburn has highlighted the publication of a new report published by the Henry Jackson Society, based in London.

A new report by a UK Think Tank, the Henry Jackson Society, addresses the supply chain dependence on China by the “Five-Eye” powers.

Of the five powers, Australia is strategically dependent on China for the largest number of imports.

Within goods that service the “Critical 11”, we are strategically dependent on 41 categories and 11 sectors which no other member of the five powers are.

Case studies in the report include pharmaceuticals, energy systems , information technology, as well as food and agriculture.

Andrew Hastie, a contributor to the report, notes that “Our strategic dependency on critical imports makes us vulnerable to not only economic coercion, but also supply chain warfare.

To mitigate this risk, the Australian government should initiate a review of all trade-exposed products, industries and sectors in the economy.”

Our Institute recently suggested to a Joint Parliamentary Committee that we pursue a Smart Sovereignty and Trusted Supply Chain model.

We maintain that this is not just an issue related to our dependencies on China, but rather a need to review all of our supply chain dependencies.

Our supply chain resilience is poor.

The Executive Summary to the report highlights the challenges:

Since the end of the Cold War, the United Kingdom (UK), United States (US), Australia, Canada and New Zealand – the five powers commonly known in intelligence circles as the “Five Eyes” – have been among the leading advocates of “hyper-globalisation”, the idea that markets should prevail over almost all other considerations. China has benefited disproportionally from this form of globalisation, leading to a fundamental transformation in its economic and industrial fortunes over the past two decades.

Although already well-established in the US, the idea of “decoupling”, particularly from China’s economy, has gained currency with the COVID-19 crisis. The inability to produce and source Personal Protective Equipment via globalised supply chains has reminded democratic governments and peoples that it is necessary to be able to produce strategic commodities, just as China’s actions and behaviour have reminded them of the authoritarian nature of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).

Under Xi Jinping’s leadership, the CCP has already used China’s economic power as a geostrategic weapon to revise the rules-based international system. Now vulnerable to rising domestic and international criticism over its handling of the COVID-19 outbreak, the CCP has adopted a policy of aggressive defence, to the extent that it is exploiting accumulated economic dependencies for political gain. While the rest of the world remains focused on combatting COVID-19, China is pushing forward with strategic campaigns to dominate all major sectors of global trade, and by degrees to take over control of international market standards.

For the full report, see the following:

https://henryjacksonsociety.org/publications/breaking-the-china-supply-chain-how-the-five-eyes-can-decouple-from-strategic-dependency/

 

 

Operation Irini Launched

by defenceWeb

The EU naval operation in the Mediterranean, previously concentrating on migrants is up and running with a new mandate and name since the beginning of this month.

It is now Operation Irini, named after the Greek goddess of peace, and the major objective of the multi-nation naval operation is to stop the flow of illegal arms to Libya.

Officially termed the EU Operation EUNavFor Med Irini, it commenced work on 4 May when the French naval vessel Jean Bart and a maritime patrol aircraft from Luxembourg moved into the operational area.

The first statement issued by the new EU operation has it that Jean Bart, a Cassard Class frigate carrying pennant number D615, is a valuable asset as it monitors communication at sea as well as air traffic. “This double effort is essential for implementation of the operation’s mandate in compliance with the Berlin conference, ensuring impartiality and conflict sensitivity.”

EU foreign affairs and security policy representative Josep Borrell said ahead of Operation Irini going active: “At the Berlin Conference, leaders agreed to work toward a sustainable solution to the crisis in Libya. However, the conflict continues to put the lives of Libyans and the region at risk. Effective enforcement of the UN arms embargo on Libya will help in achieving a sustainable ceasefire and advancing to a political agreement. Operation Irini is an important contribution toward achieving this goal. It shows EU commitment to peace in Libya, even when member states are battling the coronavirus.”

The force generation conference for Irini finished on April 28 with planning for sea operations starting immediately. This saw the first assets deployed with assets from other contributing countries “joining in the coming weeks and months” Rome-based operation commander Admiral Fabio Agostini said.

Initially, the Operation will have three vessels, contributed by France, Greece and Italy); a Maltese boarding team and three patrol aircraft from Germany, Luxembourg and Poland with a similar number of vessels and aircraft in support.

The European Satellite Centre (SatCen) will provide satellite imagery support.

Other special assets for operational tasks, such as submarines, unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) and airborne early warning aircraft are expected to support the operation. These will be offered by member states on an occasional basis according to the statement.

“Particular attention is paid to COVID-19 countermeasures. The Operation Commander issued guidelines to participating countries to reduce the risk of contagion in headquarters and on board ships and aircraft. Aircraft have to be declared “COVID-19 free” by the flag State before inclusion in Operation Irini,” the statement said.

This article was published by defenceWeb on May 13, 2020.

 

 

Memorial Day, May 25, 2020: A Turkish Colleague’s Perspective

05/25/2020

All over the world, at different tough geographies, there are immortal signatures of U.S. soldiers and their friends to let the democracy, human rights, and justice become sovereign over the countries and the people.

This is the day we all remember of those ones as President Reagan said ” Heroes may not be braver than anyone else.

“They’re just braver 5 minutes longer.”

Our colleague added the memorial message carved into a stone found at the site of the battle of Gallipoli.

Those heroes who shed their blood and lost their lives!

You are now lying in the soil of a friendly country.

Therefore rest in peace.

There is no difference between the Johnnies and Mehmets to us where they lie side by side here in this country to of ours.

You, the mothers, who sent their sons from far away countries wipe away your tears; your sons are now lying in our bosom and are in peace.

After having lost their lives on this land they have become our sons as well.”

Gallipoli, Mustapha Kemal Atatürk, 1934.

C-2A Operating With USS Abraham Lincoln

ATLANTIC OCEAN (April 9, 2019) C-2A Greyhound aircraft from the “Rawhides” of Fleet Logistics Support Squadron (VRC) 40 conduct their first flight operations from aboard USS Abraham Lincoln (CVN 72) in sixth fleet.

Abraham Lincoln is underway as part of the Abraham Lincoln Carrier Strike Group (CSG) deployment in support of maritime security cooperation efforts in the U.S. 5th, 6th, and 7th fleet areas of operation.

With Abraham Lincoln as the flagship, deployed strike group assets include staffs, ships and aircraft of Carrier Strike Group 12 (CSG 12), Destroyer Squadron 2 (DESRON 2), USS Leyte Gulf (CG 55) and Carrier Air Wing 7 (CVW 7); as well as Alvaro de Bazan-class Frigate ESPS Mendez Nunez (F 104).

(U.S. Navy video by Mass Communication Specialist 3rd Class Jeff Sherman/Released)

Laser Kill for the Maritime Kill Web

05/24/2020

PEARL HARBOR, Hawaii

Amphibious transport dock ship USS Portland (LPD 27) successfully disabled an unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) with a Solid State Laser – Technology Maturation Laser Weapon System Demonstrator (LWSD) MK 2 MOD 0 on May 16. 

LWSD is a high-energy laser weapon system demonstrator developed by the Office of Naval Research and installed on Portland for an at-sea demonstration. LWSD’s operational employment on a Pacific Fleet ship is the first system-level implementation of a high-energy class solid-state laser. The laser system was developed by Northrup Grumman, with full System and Ship Integration and Testing led by NSWC Dahlgren and Port Hueneme. 

“By conducting advanced at sea tests against UAVs and small crafts, we will gain valuable information on the capabilities of the Solid State Laser Weapons System Demonstrator against potential threats,” said Capt. Karrey Sanders, commanding officer of Portland.

The U.S. Navy has been developing directed-energy weapons (DEWs), to include lasers, since the 1960s. DEWs are defined as electromagnetic systems capable of converting chemical or electrical energy to radiated energy and focusing it on a target, resulting in physical damage that degrades, neutralizes, defeats, or destroys an adversarial capability.

Navy ships face an increasing number of threats in conducting their missions, including UAVs, armed small boats, and adversary intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance systems. The Navy’s development of DEWs like the LWSD, provide immediate warfighter benefits and provide the commander increased decision space and response options.

“The Solid State Laser Weapons System Demonstrator is a unique capability the Portland gets to test and operate for the Navy, while paving the way for future weapons systems, “ said Sanders. “With this new advanced capability, we are redefining war at sea for the Navy.”

Portland is the 11th San Antonio-class amphibious transport dock ship. While it is the third ship to bear the name ‘USS Portland,’ it is the first ship to be named solely after the largest city in Oregon.

The video was released on May 16, 2020 and is credited to Commander, U.S. Pacific Fleet

Directed energy weapons will become a key part of the maritime kill web over the next few years, as the US Navy their approach to dynamic targeting in the air-maritime domain. 

The new carriers, the USS Queen Elizabeth and the USS Gerald Ford, have significant power generation capabilities, in part, to enable a directed energy weapons future.

 

Air Vice-Marshal Andrew Clark, Royal New Zealand Air Force, Air Power in the Indo-Pacific Region

Air Vice-Marshal Andrew Clark of the Royal New Zealand Air Force spoke recently to the virtual RAAF Airpower Conference on the Indo-Pacific Region. Originally, the conference was to be held in March 2020, but was postponed due to COVID-19.

But the RAAF’s Airpower Development Centre has moved ahead with a virtual conference, consisting of the core presentations which would have been given in person.

In his presentation, Air Vice-marshal Clark focuses on why pulling up the drawbridge which has been done to hold COVID-19 at bay is not the way ahead for New Zealand in the South Pacific region.

This is a maritime region, with vast distances and many small nations.

He argued that geography is an important definer for New Zealand security but that geography is being altered by forces which are not limited by geography, such as cyber and space.

He argues that the New Zealand neighborhood had many “disrupters” in play reshaping the security environment, such as climate change.

He explained that New Zealand worked a wide variety of partnerships but was fully committed to supporting a rules based order in the region.

He noted that New Zealand needed to enhance its situational awareness and reach in the region, which is leading to acquisitions in the maritime awareness and lift domains.

These priorities were highlighted in the 2019 defence capability plan for New Zealand.

Defence-Capability-Plan-2019

He argued for a broader view of the “gray zone” which is the area within which New Zealand operates its forces and its relationships going forward.

His presentation can be viewed below:

Air Vice-Marshal Andrew Clark

Air Vice-Marshal Clark joined the Royal New Zealand Air Force in 1986 as a Navigator. During his flying career he has had four operational tours on P-3 Orion aircraft, as well as a tour as an instructor with the Royal Australian Air Force. His flying career has included command of an operational mission in the Middle East, and culminated with a tour as Commanding Officer of No. 5 Squadron.

Throughout his career Air Vice-Marshal Clark has held a variety of operational and strategic level staff positions. In recent years these positions have included Assistant Chief of Air Force – Strategy Management, Director of Strategic Commitments, Director of Defence Intelligence, Deputy Chief of Air Force, Assistant Chief Capability and Air Component Commander.  In addition, he has served as the New Zealand Defence Adviser to India.

Air Vice-Marshal Clark completed Staff College in Australia. He has a Masters degree in Management (Defence Studies) from the University of Canberra and a Graduate Diploma in Defence Studies from the University of New South Wales.

Air Vice-Marshal Clark was appointed Chief of Air Force in September 2018.

Blue Water and Blue Skies: Working Air-Maritime Integration

05/22/2020

It is clear that when either looking at the North Atlantic or the Pacific theater of operations, neither the USAF nor the USN are in a position to dominate as stove-piped services or without integrated operations with core allies.

In building out the integrated distributed force, a core challenge facing the sea and air services is how to work more effectively together, how to leverage interactive kill webs to make the right decisions at the right time to deliver the right outcome.

Discussions with the cutting edge war-fighting centers in the United States have made it clear that that this is a core priority for the sea and air services, but that it is also a work in progress.

Last Fall, the head of the RAF made a presentation at the Mitchell Institute which focused on RAF and USAF collaboration.

And this month a Forum publication was released which drew from that presentation.

The summary to the Forum piece highlighted the core points:

Based on an address he delivered during a ‘Mitchell Hour’ on October 11, 2019, Air Chief Marshal (ACM) Mike Wigston gives his appraisal of the current and future state of the RAF-USAF bilateral relationship.

After setting out the changing geostrategic context which is challenging the post-1945 rules-based international order, ACM Wigston provides his analysis of the growing state-based threats across all domains that are stalking the U.S., U.K. and their allies.

He goes on to demonstrate the enduring closeness of the two air forces’ relationship and why, in an emerging era in which multi-domain operations and information advantage will be decisive, the USAF and RAF need to redouble their partnering efforts.

He argues that ‘control of the air’ – and, increasingly, space – remains the foremost responsibility of air forces, but the U.S. and U.K. edge has been eroded in recent decades as competitor states have advanced their own capabilities.

ACM Wigston identifies the F-35 program as a vital vehicle through which to promote the collaborative ideals stated in the USAF- RAF Shared Vision Statement – not least through the close location of the RAF’s and USAFE’s F-35 bases in England – but that advancements in information exchange, logistics systems, and C2 systems are even more important.

The renaissance of the U.K.’s carrier strike capability will provide further collaborative opportunities, not least through the embarkation of USMC F-35Bs on U.K. aircraft carriers.

The intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance (ISR) sphere provides evidence of excellent and efficient collaboration between the USAF and RAF, not least through the RC-135 Rivet Joint and MQ-9 Reaper programs. The RAF has also developed strong links with the U.S. Navy, which has paid dividends in the restoration of the RAF’s maritime patrol capability.

The RAF air chief noted later in the piece the core point about integratability:

But integration goes much further than simply being able to operate in the same piece of sky or from the same carrier deck. The real challenge is ensuring that our information systems, data links, tactics, and logistical systems are all aligned.

We have driven forward 4th and 5th generation integration through the ‘Point Blank’ series of exercises that involve RAF F-35s and Typhoons, and USAF F-15s and F-35s.

Back in July, our F-35s exercised with B-2 Spirit bombers during their deployment to RAF Fairford in England – the first international fifth-generation training of its kind. We have hot-pitted and cross-serviced visiting F-35 fighter squadrons, just like the old AMPLE GAIN exercises we conducted as NATO partners in Germany before the end of the Cold War.

Our ambition doesn’t stop there. The ability to share data and forge deeper interoperability across datalink networks has to reach the point where U.S. and

U.K. F-35s are interchangeable in a four- ship formation, where our synthetic environments are fully connected to allow relevant collective training, and where follow-on operational test and evaluation is optimized….

What can be missed is the maritime services part of all of this.

First, the RAF and the Royal Navy are operating their F-35Bs (a Marine Corps variant) as an integrated force.

Second, the RAF is shaping a core part of their extended battle space efforts around the contribution of the UK’s large deck carrier.

Third, a significant targeting contribution to the 4th Battle of the Atlantic will be delivered by the RAF in its role within the allied maritime domain enterprise, and those targets are both for air and maritime operations.

And when discussing the kill web, it is not about the service insignia on the asset, it is about the ability to craft an interactive and integrated sensor shooter enterprise.

USAF and RAF Integration.

The featured photo shows an F-35B on HMS Queen Elizabeth for First of Class Flight Trials (Fixed Wing) on Oct. 10, 2018.

For an interview in 2014 with an airman involved in the UK’s airpower transition which highlights the cross-learning between the Royal Navy and the Royal Air Force, see the following:

The Royal Navy and the Royal Air Force Prepare for Cross-Domain Transformation: The F-35 and the Queen Elizabeth Carrier

And in a 2016 Williams Foundation Seminar, the evolution of air-sea integration with the emergence of a fifth generation force was the focus of analysis: