100th Air Refueling Wing

10/27/2019

A KC-135 Stratotanker from the 100th Air Refueling Wing, RAF Mildenhall, England, flew in formation with a B-2 from the 509th Bomb Wing, Whiteman AFB, Missouri, Sept. 16, 2019.

F-15s from the 48th Fighter Wing, RAF Lakenheath, England, and Royal Air Force F-35s from RAF Marham, England joined the formation.

UNITED KINGDOM

09.16.2019

Video by Senior Airman Kelly OConnor

100th Air Refueling Wing Public Affairs

Defending Australia: The Role of Fifth Generation Manoeuvre Capabilities

10/26/2019

By Robbin Laird

At the recently concluded Williams Foundation Seminar held in Canberra, Australia on October 24, 2019, the series launched in 2013 to discuss the nature and impact of fifth generation force capabilities in the defense of Australia and its capabilities to work with core allies continued.

At this session, the focus was upon the changing nature of the regional context for Australia and how the fifth generation force needed to evolve to operate effectively in the dynamically changing region and how best to provide for the continuous change which an evolving integrated distributed force clearly needs to gain the decisive advantage needed in a contested region.

The session built from the two most recent sessions where the focus on shaping an integrated distributed force was the assumption based upon which further development of the Australian Defence Force would be built.

The first session last year posed the question of how to extend the reach of the ADF within the region through shaping longer range strike capabilities.

The second session then broadened the consideration to how to enhance the sustainability of the force by shaping a more resilient Australia and enhanced capability for Australian industry and the infrastructure renewal in Australia could be built.

This seminar proceeded from the operative assumptions on how for the ADF to be able to enhance its capability for a decisive advantage when needed within the region and beyond, when necessary to operate alone, or in a leadership role within coalitions, or when contributing to a coalition led by partners or allies.

There were several key themes developed throughout the three sessions during the day, and the upcoming articles on those sessions and the final report of the seminar will provide more detail on the various sessions themselves.

A major theme throughout the day was the nature of the challenging region and the threat calculus facing the ADF. The notion of manoeuvre was taken in a wider sense than simply military tactical advantage and was considered in the wider context of information war and gaining a strategic advantage through political warfare, supply chain dominance or defeating the enemy without firing a shot.

Gaining an information advantage and C2 dominance featured throughout the day as a key part of 21st century manoeuvre warfare, with warfare understood in the wider context in the region where dealing with 21st century authoritarian powers as well as the threats and anomalies associated with 21st century terrorism and analogous challenges needed to be dealt with.

Fifth generation manoeuvre was highlighted in terms of enhancing the ways the ADF in terms of its evolving C2 and ISR operational infrastructure could provide the force with the ability to bring decisive effect to the threat or the challenge.

The head of the Australian Air Warfare Centre, AIRCDRE Phil Gordon, provided the following definition of fifth generation manoeuvre: “The ability of our forces to dynamically adapt and respond in a contested environment to achieve the desired effect through multiple redundant paths. Remove one vector of attack and we rapidly manoeuvre to bring other capabilities to bear through agile control.”

Throughout the day, various speakers provided their perspectives on how to build out the capability identified by AIRCDRE Gordon.

A key contribution came from industry where the evolving relationship between industry and government was the focus of attention. The core point was the need for both industry to work more effectively with one another and with government able to provide a more cohesive engagement with industry to shape the kind of integration which is prioritized by the build out of the integrated distributed force.

One point highlighted was that by linking industry labs more effectively the capability of industry to support the evaluating capabilities for the integrated force would be enhanced.

A case study of how the kind of integration being built might be accelerated was provided by Rear Admiral Goddard, the head of the Maritime Border Command.

Here the level of integration among key agencies in the Australian government are being enhanced with a core focus on dealing with the threats and challenges facing Australian border security, and by being able to deal with threat or challenge at its source.

This requires Australia to bring integrated capability to the effort but doing so with close cooperation with allies and partners.

As Rear Admiral Goddard put it:

Through our capacity as a convening authority, at any point in time I can rely on ADF, AFP, AFMA, intelligence agency, AFP and others unified together for effect; a true Multi-Agency.

The advantages of this unity of effort must be leveraged ultimately at the tactical level, through what I would term Command and not control – Robbin Laird has termed control the ‘legacy approach to hierarchical approval’ and I would tend to agree with his assertion that any advantage on the battlefield we currently have would be negated by a hierarchical approach.

MBC must take advantage of the opportunities afforded from a distributed force to achieve mission success through technological advantages – our future will be through allowing sound decision making at the tactical level through sound connectedness.

By virtue of the nature of the command, MBC is answerable to both the Home Affairs Portfolio and the Australian Defence Force through the Chief of Joint Operations. This in itself has the opportunity to create advantage for the civil maritime security mission; the advantage of operating in the so-called ‘Grey Zone.’

While MBC operations are civil in nature, it has a high end mission – security of our maritime borders – and uses high-end assets to do so; an ideal future would to see the entire spectrum of both civilian and military assets put to the task.

Operating within this grey zone allows MBC to play a large role supporting and engaging a large remit of stakeholders. With regular contact with all facets of government from State/territory up to Commonwealth as well as industry in a supportive role, MBC’s force elements encompass land, sea and air – a unique arrangement in regards civil maritime security, however Australia’s Borders are unique which necessitate this approach.

Reflecting a Fifth Generation approach, the force is scalable dependent on the threat or response that is required and the structure at Maritime Border Command allows this force to fully integrate providing both situational awareness and effect.

With the Maritime Border Command living the transition so to speak, the ADF is working a broader scale transformation of its own which can interact with this real-world experience as well.

And the need for an integrated force built along the lines discussed at the Williams Foundation over the past six years, was highlighted by Vice Admiral David Johnston, Deputy Chief of the ADF at the recent Chief of the Australian Navy’s Seapower Conference in held in Sydney at the beginning of October:

“It is only by being able to operate an integrated (distributed) force that we can have the kind of mass and scale able to operate with decisive effect in a crisis.”

The need for such capabilities was highlighted by the significant presentation by Brendan Sargeant at the seminar where he addressed the major strategic shift facing Australia and why the kind of force transformation which the Williams Foundation seminars have highlighted are so crucial for Australia facing its future.

In the future there will be times when we need to act alone, or where we will need to exercise leadership. We have not often had to do this in the past – The INTERFET operation in Timor, and RAMSI in the Solomon Islands are examples.

We are far more comfortable operating as part of a coalition led by others. It is perhaps an uncomfortable truth, but that has been a consistent feature of our strategic culture.

So I think our biggest challenge is not a technical or resource or even capability challenge – it is the enormous psychological step of recognising that in the world that we are entering we cannot assume that we have the support of others or that there will be others willing to lead when there is a crisis. We will need to exercise the leadership, and I think that is what we need to prepare for now.

To return to the title of this talk: if we want assured access for the ADF in the Asia Pacific, then we need to work towards a world that ensures that that access is useful and relevant to the sorts of crises that are likely to emerge.

I will leave one last proposition with you. Our assured access for the ADF in the Asia Pacific will be determined by our capacity to contribute to regional crisis management. That contribution will on some occasions require that we lead.

The task now is to understand what this means and build that capacity. 

 

Dr. Elizabeth Buchanan

10/22/2019

Dr Buchanan is a Research Fellow at the ANU Centre for European Studies where her areas of expertise are Russian foreign energy strategy and Russian polar geopolitics.

Dr Elizabeth Buchanan is a Non-Resident Fellow at the Modern War Institute at The U.S Military Academy WestPoint.

Dr Elizabeth Buchanan is co-Managing Editor of the Institute for Regional Security’s Security Challenges journal – Australia’s sole academic journal for the study of future security issues.

Dr Buchanan was recently the Visiting Maritime Fellow at the NATO Defense College, working on Alliance capabilities in the High North.

She has published widely on polar geopolitics most recently with the NATO Defence College, Foreign Policy, Foreign Affairs, The Australian and the Lowy Institute.

Dr Buchanan is a Non-Resident Fellow of the Institute of the North, Alaska, and is a Polar Analyst for The Moscow Times.

Elizabeth has been a Visiting Scholar with The Brookings Institution and has work experience in the global oil sector.

In 2018, she was an Australian Institute of International Affairs (AIIA) Early Career Research Awardee and in 2019 Dr Buchanan was listed as a ‘Young Woman to Watch in International Affairs’.

Dr Elizabeth Buchanan | Australian Strategic Policy Institute | ASPI

And for a recent interview with Dr. Buchanan with regard to Antarctic security,  please see the following:

 https://podcasts.google.com/?feed=aHR0cDovL3d3dy5wb2xhcmdlb3BvbGl0aWNzLmNvbS9mZWVkLnhtbA&episode=cG9sYXJnZW9wb2xpdGljcy5wb2RiZWFuLmNvbS9hdHMtdW5kZXItcHJlc3N1cmUtZG9tZS1hLWF1c3RyYWxpYS1hbmQtZ3JlYXQtcG93ZXItZ2VvcG9saXRpY3MtaW4tYW50YXJjdGljYS02NDc2YjI1MTYzMWFjOTYzNjNmMDYzYzgwMmQ3ZGQxNQ&hl=en-AU&ved=2ahUKEwiuw4exga_lAhVj73MBHRKCCFcQieUEegQIABAE&ep=6&at=1571717885465

 

Vice Admiral (Retired) Tim Barrett Looks Back at the Royal Australian Navy’s Seapower Conference 2019: Shaping a Way Ahead for the RAN

By Robbin Laird

It is always a pleasure to sit down and talk with Vice Admiral (Retired) Tim Barrett.  I learn a lot and have a chance to clarify and crystalize what I am learning about the evolution of the Navy and the ADF going forward.

This time we met in Canberra after the Seapower Conference which had been held in Sydney and before the Williams Foundation Conference on Fifth Generation Maneuver.

Question: What were the most positive developments which emerged from the Seapower conference from your point of view?

Vice Admiral (Retired) Barrett: The discussions at the Conference and the capabilities highlighted in the exhibitions underscored the recognition of the reality of our shipbuilding plan.

“And along with that plan, the importance of building in a sustainable fleet.

Laird Comment: That is why perhaps it might be called a “continuous shipbuilding and sustainment approach” rather than just a “continuous shipbuilding approach.”

Vice Admiral (Retired) Barrett: That makes sense, and even more so when you expand the lens of what sustainability is for the Australian nation.

“It is about safe and secure maritime trade as well underwritten in part by our seapower and those of our allies.

“My involvement with the Maritime Industry Australia Limited has been focused on the need to have a broader understanding that a more viable Maritime Industry is part of a sustained navy capability.

“It is a national endeavor, not just a purely commercial and legal effort by industry and the workforce in the civil maritime sector.

“In other words, the Conference provided an opportunity to broaden the discussion about the role of seapower to focus on building a new fleet, how to sustain it, and integral to that, how we can provide as a nation a more secure maritime environment for our society’s needs.

“In effect, we were able to focus on the broader maritime endeavor, rather than just the recapitalization of the combat fleet.

“And we need a broader understanding of the need for greater resilience in our industry and to be able to shape a more secure society.

“Norway is an example of note.  They have leveraged their energy resources as a way to build out their society. And having had that experience as a nation, they now are committed to defending their way of life against dangers posed by their near neighbors.

“It is about total defence for the Norwegians which they understand is a whole of society challenge, not a job simply outsourced to the professional military.

“To some degree, that has to happen in Australia.

“It’s not here yet.

“The shipbuilding plan is one small element, but it can provide a catalyst to try and drive national consciousness to embrace the wider concept of defence and security.

Question: Let us focus on the shipbuilding approach which Australia is shaping for its way ahead.

Clearly, the Navy is separating the decisions about hulls from the nature of the infrastructure on the ships themselves.

How do you see this as a key part of shaping your way ahead?

Vice Admiral (Retired) Barrett: This means that we can go into the global marketplace and find the most appropriate partner to build a 21st century ship, understood as robust, viable, and modular in terms of what we want to put on it.

“Since we are focused on building a navy which can contribute to an integrated force, not simply an integrated navy, we are focused on having systems and weapons on our ships which are upgradeable and modernizable over the long haul.

“Using your turn of phrase, if we are focused on a continuous shipbuilding and sustainment process, that includes the ability to have a workforce and an acquisition process which allows for modernization over time of the systems onboard our ships.

“It also allows us to look at the exportability of Australian systems which operate onboard those platforms. We might well have exportability from our Offshore Patrol vessel class.

“But a broader consideration is working with allies as we hone our skills and generate demonstrable combat capabilities onboard our ships, and leverage that to a broader consideration of the exportability of Australian products and know-how.”

The featured photo was taken during an event to honor the French Chief of Navy while he was in Australia during the Seapower conference.

From left, Rear Admiral Greg Sammut AO, Vice Admiral Mike Noonan Christophe Prazuck and Vice Admiral Tim Barrett (retd.) at the investiture ceremony inducting Admiral Prazuck as an Officer of the Order of Australia.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

A Case Study of the Evolving Integrated Distributed Force: The Australian Maritime Border Command

10/21/2019

By Robbin Laird

Canberra, Australia

I am currently in Australia supporting the next Williams Foundation Seminar on “Fifth Generation Maneuver Warfare.”

I will be leaving next to go to Bahrain for a military conference there and will do a presentation on the shift towards a new approach to warfare by the United States and its core allies, to what I call integrated distributed operations.

Here the capability for smaller force packages to provide presence but through modern C2/ISR systems to be scalable and able to be reinforced by reachback capabilities is a key element for the change.

One of the examples I will cite in the presentation is how the Australian Maritime Border command operates and how its evolving con-ops will incorporate Navy’s latest major capability, the Offshore Patrol Vessel which will be forced assigned in the future.

During my visit, I had a chance to speak with the Commander of the Maritime Border Command, Rear Admiral Lee Goddard, who was kind enough to discuss my analysis and to highlight how the Command operated in the way which I was envisaging the way ahead.

He started with the core point that in effect, the command was always operating in many ways in the so-called “Gray zone” in which events in local engagements could become crisis management flash points.

He argued that the Command was configured to do collaborative integration but that as it modernized it was working to shape an integrated effect where the force assigned units ideally become an integrated force; what some analysts call “tactical decision making at the edge” as a core capability and operational reality.

He noted that the recent meetings of the Australian security agency heads in Brisbane with Southwest Pacific partners were designed in part to build the kinds of cooperative partnerships necessary for the Command to do its job.

The Australian forces need to both understand the perspective of partners, while understanding whom they needed to work with in incident settings or crisis settings.

He argued that “we need to focus on the source of a particular challenge or problem in the region and to work with partners to resolve the challenge there as opposed to simply dealing with the effect created by that source.

“To do this, we obviously need to work with the specific partner agencies or capabilities necessary to resolve a mutual challenge, threat or problem.”

Rear Admiral Goddard noted that in the Australian Border Force headquarters, into which Maritime Border Command’s headquarters is integrated, they have an operations floor on which the various security agencies involved in dealing with the spectrum of civil security operations work together to be able to support or direct operations at a distance dealing with a challenge coming from a regional or maritime source.

“We have on the operations floor representatives of Australian Border Force, Maritime Border Command, Border Command, Customs, Immigration, the ADF, the AFP, intelligence agencies and members of five eyes, and together we work to tailor support to the particular challenge or problem.”

We then discussed how the Command was looking forward to the future of the Offshore Patrol Vessel, which as a Navy asset (not a Maritime Border Command asset) will need to fit into this paradigm and provide the kind of operational capability looked for at sea.

In effect, the evolving C2 and ISR infrastructure being built at the Command aim to be configured to operate seamlessly with the systems which will be delivered on the OPV.

This technology advantage should provide improved communications and real-time SA for the Command, improving the speed and quality of decision making for the command element onboard the OPV to make decisions at the tactical edge.

It is understood that the Navy is building in new capabilities onto the OPV which will allow it to work with a wide variety of assets, to be able to integrate capabilities for a solution on the fly, including the ability to communicate directly to partners operating ashore in their area of interest or with partner assets in the air or on the sea.

In effect, the Navy’s new asset was being built fit for purpose, and in this case, it was building a capability able to deliver decision making at the tactical edge.

Thus, it is a microcosm of a broader set of changes occurring in the ADF which are often referred to as building a fifth-generation force.

Maritime Border Command is in an ideal situation to benefit this broader change within the ADF.

The featured photo shows Admiral Karambir Singh calling on Rear Admiral Lee Goddard, Commander Maritime Border Command, Australia where they held discussions on issues of cooperation between Australia and India. September 2, 2019

 

 

 

Russia as an Asia Pacific Power: The Perspective of Dr. Elizabeth Buchanan

By Robbin Laird

In the shifting narrative of Vladimir Putin as the leader of Russia, over time he has downplayed Russia’s modernization engaged with the West to shaping a Euro-Asian perspective and promoting the concept of Russia as a unique Eur-Asian power.

Although the Obama Administration referred to Russia as a “regional power,” with 11 time zones reaching from Europe to Asia, Russia is clearly geographically a unique Eur-Asian entity.

What Putin has done through his years in power has been to leverage the geography of Russia and its population’s historical memory to shape a narrative that is focused on the Russian destiny to be a great power, this time as a player shaping the next phase of the 21st century.

During my recent visit to Australia, I had a chance to sit down with Dr Elizabeth Buchanan, research fellow at the Australian National University’s Centre for European Studies, and a Russian expert, to discuss Russia as a Pacific power.

We focused largely upon how Russian energy resources have been tapped to expand Russia’s reach into the Pacific.

Her work is focused upon Russia’s energy interests in the region, which she noted were focusing in particular, on the ASEAN nations.

She highlighted two key aspects of their approach.

The first involves Liquid Natural Gas (LNG) and the second involves the export of modular light weight nuclear reactors.

With regard to LNG, she underscored that analysts were originally skeptical of the ability of Russia to leverage its energy deposits in the Arctic. But Russia has been successful with its LNG Arctic assets and has utilized the Northern Sea Route to be able to rapidly become a major LNG exporter to the Asia Pacific Region.

“In spite of Western sanctions, the Russians have been able to build LNG Arctic platforms, and to get significant Japanese, Chinese, Saudi and Indian funding to build out their capabilities and their market.”

She noted that this has significant impact on Australia, as Australia is a key LNG exporter, and relies on profits from this sector as a key part of their export earnings. She argued that the Russians were undercutting the Australian market in the region.

Dr. Buchanan highlighted that the Asia Pacific market was key for LNG exports, but that in addition Russia was offering nuclear reactor capabilities as well. They are working with small modular nuclear reactors which can operate off of offshore platforms in the region.

“They are offering a complete package: the reactor, servicing, and waste disposal.”

In short, what Dr. Buchanan highlighted was how the Arctic opening, and Russian ability to leverage its resources as well as the new Northern route, can add them in expanding their Pacific reach.

This is a key but largely neglected development in building out a reality underlying Putin’s focus on Russia as a Eur-Asian power.

The featured graphic above was taken from the following article:

https://www.power-eng.com/2019/04/26/russian-floating-nuclear-plant-nearly-operational/#gref

See also the following:

https://energy.anu.edu.au/news-events/russian-firm-set-challenge-future-australian-lng

https://www.japantimes.co.jp/opinion/2017/07/27/commentary/world-commentary/russia-unrivaled-nuclear-power-plant-exports/#.XazPTi2B3jA

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russian_floating_nuclear_power_station

https://interestingengineering.com/russia-gives-the-green-light-to-its-floating-nuclear-power-plant-to-begin-work

https://www.npr.org/sections/thetwo-way/2018/04/30/607088530/russia-launches-floating-nuclear-power-plant-its-headed-to-the-arctic

https://www.theaustralian.com.au/commentary/are-we-ready-for-floating-chernobyls/news-story/b62eb6fbed7de4d51e1e2bc86220222d

And for a recent Japanese report on another aspect of Russian Pacific power, namely military power in the region of considerable interest to Japan, see the following:

ru_d-act_201909_e