The USMC Ground Combat Element and Shaping a Way Forward: Challenges to be Met

11/30/2023

By Robbin Laird

During my visit to MAWTS-1 in November 2023, I had a chance to talk with Maj Scott Mahaffey, the Department Head for the Ground Combat Department.

Maj Mahaffey has been at MAWTS for three years but prior to that has had a number of deployments, including Afghanistan, with an SP-MAGTF, which involved operations in Africa, and participation in a number of exercises such as Trident Juncture in Norway in 2018, the first exercise with the Indians, in the Tiger Triumph Exercise, and exercises in the Philippines.

His background provided a very good preparation for taking on the demanding task of working the training of the GCE as it works its transition from more traditional ground operations associated with the land wars to a wider range of force insertion missions.

According to Mahaffey: “Predominantly our portion of WTI we call our Air Assault and Fires Integration course. It is a heavy flavor from a ground and ACE perspective of how to execute air assaults from battalion sized raid to a platoon-sized lift. The fires integration piece at least from our student’s perspective is focused on fires integration with air-delivered weapons and how they can mesh and integrate with ground fires not necessarily in the close in battlespace but in the deep enclosed battlespace.

“Our students are typically captains at the company level, some senior enlisted, gunnies or master sergeants, with a sprinkling of lieutenants. They have focused on how to accomplish a company objective with close in fires, and we focus on training to give them knowledge of fires support at higher echelon support. We are focused on training which enhances their knowledge of the broader battlespace and how F-35 or HIMARS fires provide support for a broader engagement in the battlespace.”

U.S. Marine Corps Capt. Scott Mahaffey plans the day’s movements with Indian Army Soldiers during exercise Tiger TRIUMPH in Kakinada, India, on Nov. 19, 2019. Tiger TRIUMPH improves U.S.-Indian partnership, readiness and interoperability. It gives the U.S. Marine Corps and Indian forces the opportunity to work together, exchange knowledge and learn from each other on a range of military operations such as humanitarian assistance disaster relief and amphibious operations. Mahaffey is the commanding officer of Easy Company, 2nd Battalion, 2nd Marine Regiment, on a Unit Deployment Program to 4th Marine Regiment, 3rd Marine Division and is a native of Orlando, Fl. (U.S. Marine Corps photo by Cpl. Jacob Hancock).

When I was last at MAWTS in 2020, there was significant concern with deploying Marines to remote locations, even if new longer-range weapons will come on line in the next few years, with the question of fires authorities. In the MAGTF construct, the question of who gives fires authority is clear; in the new direction to have smaller groups of Marines deployed throughout the battlespace, that question is not yet resolved.

The other issue is that GCE is training in the absence of the longer-range weapons which are not yet in place. They are using data from weapons development efforts, a step up from briefing slides, to work with notional weapons, NEMESIS being a case in point.

The challenge facing the GCE is seen in this USMC 2021 description of NEMESIS.

The Navy/Marine Corps Expeditionary Ship Interdiction System successfully hit its target in support of Marine Corps Forces, Pacific, during Large Scale Exercise 21 Aug. 15, 2021. The exercise showcased the U.S. maritime forces’ ability to deliver lethal, integrated all-domain naval power.

LSE 21 was a live, virtual and constructive scenario-driven, globally-integrated exercise with activities spanning 17 time zones. LSE 21 applied and assessed developmental warfighting concepts that will define how the future Navy and Marine Corps compete, respond to crises, fight and win in conflict.

The Marine Corps’ NMESIS will provide the Marine Littoral Regiment with ground based anti-ship capability to facilitate sea denial and control while persisting within the enemy’s weapons engagement-zone, and LSE 21 provided a venue for the program team to validate some of those concepts.

“This scenario is representative of the real-world challenges and missions the Navy and Marine Corps will be facing together in the future,” said Brig. Gen. A.J. Pasagian, commander of Marine Corps Systems Command. “This exercise also provided an opportunity for us to work alongside our service partners to refine Force Design 2030 modernization concepts.”

 SINKEX, the exercise scenario involving NMESIS, provided a testing environment for new and developing technologies to connect, locate, identify, target and destroy adversary threats in all domains, culminating in the live-fire demonstration of the naval strike missile against a sea-based target. During the exercise, forward-deployed forces on expeditionary advanced bases detected and, after joint command and control collaboration with other U.S. forces, responded to a ship-based adversary. Simultaneous impacts from multiple, dispersed weapons systems and platforms across different U.S. services—including NMESIS—engaged the threat.

NMESIS integrates established, proven sub-systems, such as the Joint Lightweight Tactical Vehicle Chassis, the Naval Strike Missile and the Fire Control System used by the Navy for NSM.

“From an acquisition perspective, NMESIS started a little over two years ago,” said Joe McPherson, long range fires program manager at MCSC. “We’ve been able to rapidly move [on developing and fielding this system] because we’re leveraging existing NSM and JLTV subsystems.”

Because NMESIS is not yet a fielded capability, engineers from MCSC managed the fire control piece of the system during the exercise. Marines, however, were able to practice maneuvering the system and validating the system’s interoperability with their Naval and Air Force partners.

The basic focus of the Ground Combat Department at MAWTS-1 is upon company training and awareness of higher echelon support, both actual and projected such as the case with NEMESIS.

Maj Mahaffey indicated that simulators are a key part of the training regime, which allows for lessons learned to be taken away and reflected in the simulators which are located at the Marine Corps bases as well. This allows for working the standardization aspect of the training development process.

But they don’t have a simulator for a new system such as NEMESIS and are working with a notional projected system as part of their training regime. They are training in terms of working the timelines to execute a strike with the notional system to support an external fires authority.

The reality for the GCE is that currently have organic fires which allow them to operate in the close in fight. Longer range fires are in development, with HIMARS at an outer range of 300Kms being the exception.

But by and large the GCE projected in remote locations is largely capable of providing defensive capability, protecting logistical locations, or radars or items of interest, not being part of an offensive punch for the joint force.

It is a work in progress.

Featured Photo: U.S. Marines assigned to 1st Battalion 4th Marines post security during assault support tactics three during Weapons and Tactics Instructor Course 2-18 in Yuma, Ariz., on April. 20, 2018. WTI is a seven week training event hosted by Marine Aviation and Weapons Tactics Squadron One cadre which emphasizes operational integration of the six functions of Marine Corps aviation in support of a Marine Air Ground Task Force. MAWTS-1 provides standardized advanced tactical training and certification of unit instructor qualifications to support Marine aviation Training and Readiness and assists in developing and employing aviation weapons and tactics. (U.S. Marine Corps photo by Lance Cpl. Joel Soriano)

Osprey and KC-130J Training in WTI-1-24

11/29/2023

U.S. Marine MV-22B Osprey and KC-130J Hercules aircrafts, assigned to Marine Aviation Weapons and Tactics Squadron One, participate in Weapons and Tactics Instructor (WTI) course 1-24, at Dugway Proving Ground, Utah, Oct. 11, 2023.

WTI is an advanced, graduate-level course for selected pilots and enlisted aircrew providing standardized advanced tactical training and assists in developing and employing aviation weapons and tactics.

10.11.2023

Video by Lance Cpl. Emily Hazelbaker Marine Aviation Weapons and Tactics Squadron-1

French Air Force Takes Up NATO Air Police Mission on the “Eastern Flank”

By Pierre Tran

Paris –  The French air force will fly Nov. 28 four Mirage 2000-5 fighter jets to Lithuania in a Nato air police mission in the skies of the allied Baltic nations, amidst Ukraine’s concerns on waning Western support for its fight back against Russian forces.

The despatch of Mirage fighters was part of an “air defense on the eastern flank,” the French armed forces ministry said in a Nov. 23 statement, pointing up the Baltic Air Policing mission sought to maintain sovereignty of airspace over the three Nato partners – Estonia, Lithuania, and Latvia.

The French fighters will take up the Baltic air operation for four months, taking over from  Eurofighter jets deployed by Italy and Spain in a rotating collective security measure aimed at warning off Russian president Vladimir Putin on any move against members of the alliance.

The Mirage jets will take off from the Luxeuil 116 airbase, eastern France, and will be based at Siauliai air base, northern Lithuania, the French ministry said, with some 100 French air personnel supporting Lithuanian forces.

“By committing high level assets and maintaining a regular operational presence in the region,” the ministry said, “France shows it is committed to strengthening Nato’s deterrence and defensive posture, and acts in a concrete manner to contribute measures of reassurance on the eastern flank of Europe.”

The air force invited the press to the Luxeuil air base and attend the despatch of Mirages, which form part of a high-priority mission of air police of the French national airspace.

Meanwhile, Kyiv came Nov. 25 under a six-hour sustained attack by Russian kamikaze drones, raising concern Moscow had replenished its stocks of weapons and was intent on smashing resolve in Ukraine.

Although Ukraine said its air defense had downed 74 of the 75 Russian drones, falling parts of the weapons, reported to be based on the Iranian Shahed drone, wounded five people and  hit buildings in the capital.

The concern in Kyiv was that U.S. political and military attention had turned to the war in Gaza, with Washington switching ammunition supplies to support the Israel Defense Forces, and the White House acting as mediator between Jerusalem and the Hamas irregular force.

The Hamas group agreed to extend by two more days a four-day ceasefire, just hours before the pause in fighting had been due to end on Nov. 27, allowing further release of hostages seized in its deadly Oct. 7 assault on Israeli communities on the border with Gaza.

The Ukraine stock of 155 mm shells was reported to be running low, and the fear was the U.S. has redirected shipments to Israel, now seen as the higher military priority.

There was something of “Ukraine fatigue,” with support withering among Republicans in the U.S. Congress, and a general election looming in the U.K. , David Manning, a former British ambassador to Washington, Nato, and Israel, said Nov. 26 on BBC Radio 4.

It was likely Moscow “welcomed” the election result in the Netherlands, and the debates going in the U.S., he said.

“This is a real issue,” he said, and Western leaders needed to address the Ukraine crisis, which could not be solved by “easy solutions” proposed by populist leaders, and that “Putin can be appeased in some way.”

Last week saw the populist, far-right PVV Freedom party led by Geert Wilders win the largest share of votes in the Netherlands general election, allowing him to form a coalition government, ringing alarm bells across Europe.

Western officials such as U.S. defense secretary Lloyd Austin,  U.S. secretary of state Anthony Blinken, and British foreign secretary David Cameron, have at various times flown to Kyiv to show support for Ukraine and president Volodymyr Zelenskiy, who is reported to be under German and U.S. pressure to negotiate a settlement with Putin. But the Ukrainian leader has refused to accept Russia hold on to territories seized by military means.

“The stakes are huge,” George Robertson, a former Nato secretary general and ex-U.K. defense secretary, said Nov. 26  on Radio 4.

Cameron’s visit was all very nice, he said, but there was nothing in the U.K. government’s recent autumn financial statement – effectively the national budget – that would replenish U.K. military stocks  sent to Kyiv, or send more kit to the Ukrainian forces, which needed longer range missiles, large quantities of ammunition, and more equipment.

“Your visit is not enough,” he said, “rhetoric is not enough.”

Ukraine was losing kit due to a war of attrition, and British factories needed to be working 24 hours a day, he said. Ukraine was being starved of resources, while the Russian military industry was working at full rate.

If Putin won in Ukraine, the world order would be transformed, he said, with the new rules  written by China, Russia, and Iran.

Putin had already failed in his expectation of winning Ukraine in a three-day campaign, he said, and the West needed to “turn the narrative round.”

The three Baltic nations joined the transatlantic alliance in 2004,  following the collapse of the Soviet Union, and in the wake of the Nov. 9 1989 fall of the Berlin Wall.

Nato allies adopted  the enhanced Air Policing (eAP) operation in 2014, in response to Moscow’s seizing the Crimean peninsula and taking control of the eastern region of Ukraine.

The French air force has flown 10 times in the Baltic Air Police mission, and has deployed seven times in Lithuania, the ministry said.

The U.S. congress, backed by the senate, has approved the 2024 budget, but the last minute vote left out any fresh financial support for Ukraine, leaving the prospect of Kyiv running out of funds for ordering further arms and ammunition.

Germany has pledged €5.4 billion ($5.9 billion) for its 2023 security capacity building initiative, up from €2 billion last year, with further commitment of a total €10.5 billion in following years, the government said on its military support for Ukraine.

Military assistance to Ukraine mainly accounts for those funds, as well as restocking German inventories for equipment sent to Kyiv.

Among the weapons sent to Ukraine, there were a further 20 Marder infantry fighting vehicles on top of the 60 units already announced, as well as 30 Leopard 1 A5 heavy tanks long sought by the Ukrainian army.

A further 105 Leopard 1 A5 tanks were being prepared to be shipped to Ukraine, in a project jointly financed with Denmark.

Germany will also send over 21,910 rounds of  the Nato standard 155 mm artillery shells, up from the 19,530 previously pledged.

Featured photo: A U.S. KC-130J Super Hercules assigned to the Marine Aerial Refueler Transport Squadron-352, refuels a French Dassault Mirage 2000 fighter jet near Camp Lemonnier, Djibouti, Feb. 8, 2022. U.S. and French forces regularly exchange expertise, ideas and tactics to become a more integrated combined force with the ability to respond to crises or threats in East Africa. The refueling unit is deployed from Marine Corps Air Station Miramar, California, and supports the Combined Joint Task Force – Horn of Africa by providing aerial refueling, airdrop and rescue capabilities to the area of operations. (U.S. Air Force photo by Senior Airman Blake Wiles)

ISR, Mission Planning and Enabling a Distributed Force: An Ongoing Challenge

11/28/2023

By Robbin Laird

I spent parts of March and April this year in Australia and then flew to Hawaii where I visited PACFLEET and PACAF.

The Australians and the American commands are both working to build a path to enhance deterrence of China and then augment capabilities which work to reinforce that path. Force distribution, greater allied interoperability, significant C2 and ISR capabilities enabling the distributed force to operate as a kill web with enhanced capabilities to confuse adversary targeting are the key elements for reshaping the current force. Based on this effort, acquisition choices will either help or hinder augmentation of core capabilities to further realize this approach.

A key challenge in mission success is working effective ways for higher level commanders to work effectively with forces at the tactical edge which increasingly have ISR capabilities better than the commanders have with regard to that particular operational area.

How to proceed? As one Navy officer put it: “Higher headquarters must be able to see, understand, monitor, and adjust tactical headquarters that own battlespace and missions throughout the theater. Higher headquarters must have the ability to see, understand and occasionally direct. But those headquarters must have borders so the tactical commanders can exercise their own creativity to deliver the fires and effects where they are operating.

“The higher headquarters may have access to better information and when it does it needs to have the ability to reach out to the tactical level to tell them to do or not do something associated with the larger political and strategic picture.”

He felt that they were making significant progress in commanding a distributed force, which is a core element of shaping a force capable of deterrence in the Pacific. “We are capable of commanding from various locations and can be able to see and understand how to command in the battlespace dozens of ships, hundreds of aircraft, thousands of personnel.

“We are capable of seeing, understanding, and deciding what is going on in the battlespace, and tracking the enemy force using exquisite means way beyond a grease pencil and a radio call. We can and do so through links and sensor from the sea floor to the heavens.”

During my visit to MAWTS-1 in November 2023, I had a chance to talk about how the intelligence aspect of working in mission command and the evolving ISR environment was being experienced by a USMC intelligence officer. I met with Capt Liggett, a MAGTF Intelligence Officer, a U.S. Naval Academy graduate whose generation will experience very significant dynamic decades of change of both ISR and counter-ISR dynamics.

Prior to coming to MAWTS-1, her experience has been in supporting fixed wing aircraft and their mission planning. She has worked with VMFA-211 and served on the Queen Elizabeth during the Marines operating their F-35Bs from that ship. This is a very unique experience for the British carrier was built especially to operate the F-35s and has information warfare and intelligence facilities built on the ship especially for F-35 capabilities. When I visited the ship when it was being built in Scotland, I saw those facilities being built and their functionality was explained to me at the time.

Capt Liggett on-baord HMS Queen Elizabeth.

Capt Liggett indicated that coming to MAWTS-1 has broadened her experience and allowed her to work the intelligence function for the mission planning of the entire air capability of the USMC, including rotorcraft and the new addition to the force, the Reaper.

I highlighted that with the kind of ISR at the tactical edge which forces have this changes the dynamic between intelligence that comes from other sources and the dialogue that goes on between operators and the intelligence function.

Capt Liggett discussed that dynamic in the following terms: “We need to communicate back and forth to ensure that we have most updated information to pass on. We are active participants in this process and working to ensure that from a collection point of view we are looking in the right locations and refining information with regard to the operational area. The challenge is to pass data effectively to the right people at the right time and make sure we have access to resources that enables us to do that. We are also informing our pilots of what we can know and what we can’t from the particular resources available to us at a particular time.”

She indicated that “we are generally cueing the intelligence data  and the operators at the tactical edge are then taking that with what they see in real time to prosecute targets.”

In my view, with the growing capability of ISR inherent in the force at the tactical edge – with F-35s and other local intelligence capabilities – the dialogue with the intelligence analysts and sources beyond the tactical edge with those at the tactical edge is a key part of shaping operations going forward.

Featured Image: F-35B Lightning II with Marine Fighter Attack Squadron VMFA-211 and the United Kingdom’s 617 Squadron, both Carrier Strike Group 21, are secured to the flight deck aboard HMS Queen Elizabeth at sea on May 06, 2021. VMFA-211 and 617 Squadron will form of the largest 5th-generation carrier air group in the world. This deployment highlights the global reach of the U.S. and UK armed forces and their interoperability, and enhances the deterrence and defense capabilities of combined force.

“Our excellence is a key part of deterrence.”

11/27/2023

By Robbin Laird

During my November 2023 visit to MAWTS-1, I had a chance to talk with Major Kyle “Elton” McHugh, tactical air department head at MAWTS-1. McHugh was originally a Harrier pilot who transitioned to the F-35B and served for three years with the first forward deployed F-35B squadron, VMFA-121.

The F-35 is a key part of answering the question of the how the USMC integrates with the joint force and supports the maritime fight. The Marine Corps F-35Bs in Japan provide fifth-generation aircraft to the Marine Corps and Joint Force in the first island chain, operating off a variety of basing options, and work closely with the USAF, USN, and allied Pacific Air Forces.

The aircraft shares common sensors, decision making systems, weapons and so on with a common U.S and allied combat fleet. In discussing the way ahead for USMC integration with the joint force, both the F-35 and the Osprey are often overlooked as key stakeholders in both current capabilities and the future force.

I asked him about his time in Japan and his perspective on working with the Japanese. He commented: “I think our enemies fear our excellence and that is a key part of deterrence. Working with the Japanese as they stood up their own F-35s, we shared a common mission and a common passion to defend our nations and our way of life. Our adversaries cannot ignore that commitment and the quality we bring to the fight.”

Throughout our discussion, Major McHugh emphasized how the Marines have worked with the joint and coalition force on integratability of the F-35, enabling a more lethal and capable F-35 enterprise. He noted that “there has been a concerted effort by MAWTS-1 to work with the Navy and Air Force weapon schools on F-35 integration. All the weapon school instructors meet in person twice a year. The goal is to standardize and shape a tri-service TTP manual, including Australian and British partners as well.”

We also discussed the coming of the Reaper and he emphasized how its inclusion is helping to learn about and shape operations in the challenging maritime environment. He noted that many of the students who come to WTI do not have deep knowledge of the maritime environment and Reaper data is helping in that learning process.

He noted the last Harrier class came to this year’s WTI and the Hornets are soon to follow. The all F-35 Marine Corps TACAIR element will be a key part of the joint and allied integration efforts as evidenced by the work on a common training manual by the weapon school instructors.

Major McHugh concluded: “At MAWTS-1 we are focused on tactical excellence. That level of competence is critical to deterrence. The events we do at MAWTS-1, both live and simulated, are executed with distributed joint partners, empowering mission commanders to compete against the evolving threat.”

Featured Photo: U.S. Marine Corps Maj. Kyle McHugh, a pilot assigned to Marine Fighter Attack Squadron 121, currently attached to Marine Medium Tilt-Rotor Squadron 265 Reinforced, 31st Marine Expeditionary Unit (MEU), departs the flight deck of amphibious assault ship USS America (LHA 6), in the East China Sea, June 24, 2021. The F-35B is launched in support of the 31st MEU’s unit level training to maintain proficiency in air-to-surface attacks, tactical intercepts, and other critical skills. The 31st MEU is operating aboard ships of the America Amphibious Ready Group in the 7th fleet area of operation to enhance interoperability with allies and partners and serve as a ready response force to defend peace and stability in the Indo-Pacific region. U.S. Marine Corps Staff Sgt. John Tetrault.

The following story published on 1 April 2014 highlights the coalition aspect of McHugh’s career but as a Harrier pilot.

U.S. Marine Corps AV-8B Harrier pilots with Marine Medium Tiltrotor Squadron (VMM) 263 (Reinforced), 22nd Marine Expeditionary Unit (MEU), conducted a bilateral aviation exercise with French air force fighter pilots in Djibouti, Africa, March 26 to April 2, 2014.

The weeklong exercise was intended to maintain proficiency and learn new tactics while building lasting relationships between allied nations.

“This has been a great experience for us,” said U.S. Marine Corps Capt. Kyle McHugh, VMM-263 (Rein.) Harrier pilot and native of Aberdeen, Md.

The MEU’s pilots flew air-to-air missions, dogfighting French Mirage 2000 pilots; as close air support, striking and bombing ground targets; combat search and rescue; tactical recovery of aircraft and personnel; and strike coordination/armed reconnaissance.

A French air force Mirage 2000 fighter jet with Fighter Squadron 03/011 Corsica taxis to a runway at French Airbase 188 during an air-to-air combat exercise with AV-8B Harriers from Marine Medium Tiltrotor Squadron (VMM) 263 (Reinforced), 22nd Marine Expeditionary Unit (MEU). The 22nd MEU is deployed with the Bataan Amphibious Ready Group as a theater reserve and crisis response force throughout U.S. Central Command and the U.S. 5th Fleet area of responsibility. (U.S. Marine Corps photo by Sgt. Austin Hazard/Released)

“Within the large air war, we flew those different roles and got to be a piece of the puzzle and see how the whole picture worked in actual execution,” explained McHugh, who also serves as the squadron’s assistant logistics officer. “It’s the most challenging environment we’ve had a chance to train in.”

The MEU’s pilots flew approximately 35 sorties and accumulated approximately 40 flight hours, flying missions with and against the Mirage pilots. The Mirage pilots were assigned to local French air force Fighter Squadron 03/011 Corsica, as well as visiting French air force Fighter Squadron 02/005 Ile de France.

“The missions we do here are very complex with very little time to prepare and coordinate,” said French air force Capt. Joan Dussourd, Fighter Squadron 02/005 Mirage 2000 fighter pilot. “It forces us to be very efficient.”

Each mission included several aircraft with different tasks, such as Harriers flying close air support while Mirages provide fighter support and dogfight against role player enemy Mirages. Throughout the week, there were as many as 12 aircraft participating at any given moment.

“They’re very tactically proficient in air-to-air and we consider ourselves to be very tactically proficient in an air-to-surface environment,” noted McHugh. “The ability to learn from one another in a combined forces environment, we’d be very lucky to ever have this experience again.”

In the end, the exercise helped both forces learn the other’s mindset, said Dussourd.

“I think when you fly the same missions with someone, you learn about them,” added Dussourd. “We’ve gotten to know the Marines and learned their mindset, which is very flexible. Ours is also, so we work well together.”

The squadrons and individual pilots established good working relationships throughout the exercise and built a strong foundation for other U.S. military squadrons to train or work with the French squadrons in the future.

“I’ve already seen how well trained and skilled they are in air-to-surface missions, but I was not in the air when they fought air-to-air, so I’m very interested to see how they did,” said Dussourd, who had never flown with Harriers before this exercise. “It’s important that we have chances like this in the future, to mix our knowledge. We appreciate the way the Harrier pilots work: very professional and skilled.”

The 22nd MEU is deployed with the Bataan Amphibious Ready Group as a theater reserve and crisis response force throughout U.S. Central Command and the U.S. 5th Fleet area of responsibility.

CAS Training WTI-1-24

U.S. Marines assigned to Tactical Air Control Party, Marine Aviation Weapons and Tactics Squadron One, participate in a close air support exercise during Weapons and Tactics Instructor (WTI) course 1-24 at WISS Airfield, near Indio, California, Oct. 6, 2023.

WTI is an advanced, graduate-level course for selected pilots and enlisted aircrew providing standardized advanced tactical training and assists in developing and employing aviation weapons and tactics.

10.06.2023

Video by Lance Cpl. Elizabeth Gallagher

Marine Aviation Weapons and Tactics Squadron-1

Operating in Contested Environments: MAWTS-1 Works the Spectrum Warfare Challenge

By Robbin Laird

During my visit to MAWTS-1 in 2018, the shift from operating in the land wars to dealing with challenges which could be posed by peer competitors was clearly underway. At the center of the shift was clear recognition of the need to deal with the ongoing challenge of operating in contested electro-magnetic environments.

In my meetings with PACFLEET this past April, a key aspect of the challenge facing the force is clearly spectrum warfare or signature management and deception. My takeaway from discussions at PACFLEET was very clear. Success for distributed maritime operations requires not only assured command and control but the tissue of ISR systems enabling distributed fleet operations and adding the key element of deception through various counter-ISR systems as well. In effect, fleet distribution built on a kill web effects infrastructure is being combined with what me be called a wake-a-mole operational capability. You can’t target me, if you can’t find me.

As one key Navy leader put it to me: “Counter-ISR is the number one priority for me, to deny the adversary with to high confidence in his targeting capabilities. I need to deceive them and to make a needle look like a needle in a haystack of needles. It is important to have the capability to look like a black hole in the middle of nothing.”

MAWTS-1 with its work on FARPs, force distribution, new ways to do C2 such as from systems operating out of the back of Ospreys, signature management and deception is clearly working along the same lines as PACFLEET.

I had a chance to discuss this approach with Major John Edwards, the Spectrum Warfare Department Head, when visiting MAWTS-1 in November 2023. Edwards highlighted their work in preparing the force for the spectrum management challenges they experience and will experience within a contested electronic warfare environment. Their focus is upon ramping up the “red” threat against blue to prepare the force for the experience they have when operating in a contested environment.

They focus on showing the operational elements of the force the kind of spectrum signature they are creating when they operate to better understand the nature of spectrum warfare and how that affects their lethality and survivability in operations. And by knowing that one can create ways to think about signature deception as well as pointed out by PACFLEET.

Edwards background is from operating in the last remaining specialized USMC airborne electronic warfare platform, the Prowler. The focus now is upon having the entire operational force “electronic warfare” ready, which requires consideration as well for bringing the kind of threats which red forces can be brought by an adversary to contested operations. This is always going to be a work in progress as both blue and red work the dynamically changing electronic magnetic spectrum embodied in the operating forces.

We discussed an issue as well which I have observed in both allied and U.S militaries, namely the paring down of specialized aircraft to perform the EW mission and the question of whether or not there is enough capability remaining for the specialized domain which EW or tron warfare really constitutes.

Major Edwards thought this was a valid concern and observed that the Navy currently through its Growlers provides a joint capability. He noted the USAF has officers involved with Growlers and Growlers come to MAWTS-1 as well to work with the range of capabilities which the USMC deploys. But he felt that there needs to be a joint force commitment to expertise in this area beyond simply relying on the Growler community.

Part of the problem is simply the need to have a robust capability in this area which can inform the force with regard to training standards necessary for effective operations. If it was felt correctly that spectrum management is now a thread running through offensive and defensive operations, where will the expertise be to inform the operational and training requirements?

Featured Image: U.S. Marine Corps aircraft assigned to Marine Operational Test and Evaluation Squadron One takeoff from a landing zone during a Spectrum Warfare Department (SWD) training event near Yuma, Arizona, Aug. 23, 2023. SWD Marines conducted a training to intercept, identify, and locate or localize sources of intentional and unintentional radiated electromagnetic energy for the purpose of immediate threat recognition, targeting, planning and conduct of future operations. (U.S. Marine Corps photo by Lance Cpl. Ruben Padilla)

The Way Ahead for Western Fighters

11/23/2023

By Robbin Laird

I have attended the International Fighter Conference in the past but missed this year’s offering. This year’s conference was held in Madrid, and I was interested in what was discussed at the conference as I am focused on the way ahead for Western air combat forces in the decade ahead.

First, I scanned recently press reports on the conference and really found two news threads. The first involved the Swedes and the fact that they had dropped out of the British led Tempest program and were now looking at their own requirements for their next combat jet. I am deliberately not using the characterization of next generation fighter for they may not indeed do such as my own view is that the air combat domain is changing way beyond consideration of a next generation fighter.

Gareth Jennings reported that Sweden had dropped out of the British led program.

“Speaking at the IQPC International Fighter Conference (IFC) 2023 under the Chatham House Rule, an official said that the national work followed the official termination of the country’s participation in the UK-led Future Combat Air System (FCAS) in 2022.

“We walked away from trilateral studies with [the] UK and Italy about a year ago, and launched a national study. I will not answer questions why it didn’t work with the UK and FCAS,” the official said on 7 November at the event in Madrid, adding only that had Sweden known in July 2019 when it signed up to FCAS what it knows now about its requirements, it would not have joined.”

Tim Martin in Breaking Defense also focused on the Swedish presentation.

“After joining and then leaving the UK-led Future Combat Air System (FCAS), the Swedish military is now holding off on deciding its path to a next-generation fighter jet until 2031, after it can assess the “risks and possibilities” with different approaches, an official said today.

“Three options are on the table for Stockholm: Either “build a system, develop a system with someone, or… acquire a system,” said the official, speaking under Chatham House Rules at the International Fighter Conference here in Madrid. “It’s an open question.”

“We did have both bilateral and trilateral cooperation with Britain and also with Italy on the FCAS program,” said the official. “We walked away from that about a year ago and started some national studies… connecting to what capabilities are needed for the future.” The official declined to comment on the reason behind Sweden ending collaboration with the UK and Italy.

“A decision has not been made by authorities so far on an Initial Operating Capability (IOC) date for whatever it chooses for a next-gen fighter, but a wide range of planning activities will inform the 2031 procurement decision.”

The only other story I found focused on Poland. There the emphasis was on the Polish air force looking at autonomous systems that would fly with the F-35 enabled Polish Air Force.

According to Shephard News:

“The Polish MoD has been evaluating the UAS market in search of a loyal wingman platform to work alongside its future fleet of Lockheed Martin F-35A fighter jet, the Deputy General Commander of the Polish Armed Forces has revealed.

“Addressing the International Fighter Conference 2023 in Madrid on 6 November, Maj General Cezary Wisniewski disclosed that the Polish Ministry of National Defence (NMD) was engaged in a comprehensive market assessment of the emerging loyal wingman uncrewed combat aerial vehicles (UCAVs) capability. The evaluation has formed part of the ministry’s efforts to meet the requirements of the Harpii Szpon (Harpy’s Talon) adjunct programme for the F-35 fighters.

‘We are not yet at the point of an acquisition,’ Maj Gen Wisniewski said. ‘We are [now] just waiting for more information to be sure that we don’t make a mistake – we just want to join the mainstream approach, [but] we think that industry is not ready to provide the capabilities yet.’

My own sense is that discussions of next generation fighters although interesting are a bit premature.

First, the dominance of the F-35 within Western nations will provide a significant input to redefining air combat going forward. And the United States will face a major challenge of adapting its legacy mindset on security to the technological realties of a fleet of aircraft that can move vast amounts of data within a combat area to shape the kind of multi-domain warfare capabilities which are often highlighted but ignoring what the arrival of a F-35 global enterprise could enable.

The key is sensor fusion and the ability to do this as a wolfpack. I was in England for the DSEI conference held in London in early September. One of the discussions highlighted by the DSEI organizers on their content hub was with my guru and guide for many years in the UK’s process of adopting the F-35, then Group Captain Paul Godfrey and now Air Vice-Marshal Godfrey. He has moved from dealing with combat air to the new space efforts being worked by the UK Ministry of Defence.

Air Vice Marshal Gary Waterfall (Retired) interviewed “Godders” about the challenges of setting up the new UK space command. As the first commander of UK space command, Godders has brought a wide range of experience in terms of working combat air with the broader force transformation effort being pursued by the UK, through the difficult periods of the Brexit transition.

A key theme which was discussed was the focus on being able to access space to deliver the kind of ISR-T and C2 information to a deployed force. Godders made a key point that sensor fusion from space assets was a key challenge facing the force and in doing so he highlighted a key point often neglected when talking about the F-35 and its impact on force transformation, namely, its revolutionary impact on sensor fusion in the cockpit of F-35s operating as a wolfpack.

This is what Air Vice-Marshal Godfrey highlighted:

“Data validation is key. If we both go back to a previous platform that we both worked with, the F-35, it shows one how it can be done. The data from the various sensors around the airplane are fused in the fusion engine. The radar might think that there’s a 70% chance it is x. Another sensor might indicate that it is 100% chance, or 99.9%. chance that it’s x. And data fusion then can present the pilot with that answer that it is 98% certain that it is x. The legal people have had a look at it and that might be enough for you to shoot at the target.

“That’s what I’m looking for in terms of how we bring data together or how we fuse it. When you scale that across the enterprise and pair data sources, where is that done? Do you do all of that at the source on a satellite? That’s why we’re doing this with some of our operational capability demonstrators. Or do you wait for that information to be sent down? Is your F 35 brain in the Space Operations Center? Is it done at edge processing?

“To provide answers, we’re doing experiments over the next couple of years to see what works, what doesn’t work for sensor fusion from our space data.”

What Godders is talking about is the data ecosystem which is being worked to deliver the kind of ISR-T and C2 capabilities necessary for the kind of force transformation underway. And it should not be forgotten what the F-35 as a global enterprise can provide.

Second, next generation UAVs, autonomous systems, are the other major driver of the dynamics of change for the air combat force. Although referred to as wingman they are not that at all. No fifth-generation pilot wants a wingman, that is legacy thinking par excellence.

The new generation of longer-range UAVs provide significant force multiplier capabilities for the outside force, and with ISR and C2 payloads to the inside force as well. It is not so much manned-unmanned teaming as it is filling gaps that currently cannot be filled or as complements to the crewed platforms in the current force.

With the growing impact of the global F-35 force, the next big thing is almost certainly going to be building up a next generation UAV force that fills the gaps and complements the force.

To get an update on what the news stories from the conference did not focus on, I talked with my colleague Billie Flynn who attended the conference to get his take on the way ahead for the fighter world and how the conference addressed this.

First, Flynn underscored his concern with regard to the future of the Royal Canadian Air Force in which he served for many years. Given the atrophy of Canadian airpower, the number of pilots has been significantly reduced. This means that although the CAF is finally to acquire the F-35, the CAF is facing a significant pilot shortfall. He raised these questions with the Canadian speaker who really had no answer as to how they were going to deal with this challenge.  There does not appear to be a solution on how to produce enough fighter pilots to man the F-35s when they arrive in Canada which will have implications for NORAD and NATO alliances.

Second, he emphasized that the F-35 global enterprise was gaining momentum in ways that most European political leaders simply did not anticipate. But he saw a divide between the AUKUS three – the U.S., Australia, and the UK – and the rest of the F-35 global enterprise with regard to the kind of collaboration which the jet clearly empowers.

Third, he was very skeptical with regard to the European programs which have been generated, whether the British-led one or the French-led one. Much like the Tornado and Eurofighter programs of the past, the emphasis was on workshare and investment distribution, not lethality, effectiveness, or advanced technology integration. Where are the export opportunities? And what is their relationship to what the F-35 dominance in European air forces will yield in terms of change in air combat?

And he agreed that the priority impact of figuring out how to use the F-35 and the coming of autonomous air systems would predominate operational realities over projected new fighter projects.

Of course, a major impact will come from the B-21 and the entire process of weaponization which will have a decisive impact certainly on the way ahead for the USAF. A fifth generation fighter global enterprise plus autonomous air systems plus a new bomber plus new weapons will almost certainly dominate the real world of air combat evolution much more than development and acquisition of a new fighter.

Featured Photo: Royal Australian Air Force F-35A Lightning II and Republic of Korea Air Force KF-16U Fighting Falcon aircraft conduct air to air refueling with a Royal Australian Air Force KC-30A Multi-Role Tanker Transport and a Republic of Korea Air Force Multi-Role Tanker Transport in the skies around Darwin as part of Exercise Pitch Black 2022. Credit: Australian Department of Defence.