Snap Elections and Fighters to Ukraine: President Macron Tosses a Rock into the Pond of European Politics

06/12/2024

By Pierre Tran

Paris – A surprise announcement from president Emmanuel Macron of the sale of the Dassault Aviation Mirage 2000-5 fighter jet to Ukraine has sparked political controversy and public debate over the arms deal.

The head of state said June 6 on live national television France would enter a “program of sale” of the single-engine fighter when his Ukrainian counterpart, Volodymyr Zelenskiy, visited the French capital the next day.

French training of Ukrainian pilots would start in the next few days, and take five or six months, he said.

Macron was speaking on the sidelines of an international commemoration of the 80th anniversary of the allied assault on five Normandy beaches on D-Day June 6, 1944.

The French commander in chief, speaking the following day, withheld the number of Mirage 2000-5s to be sent to Ukraine, and the allied nations which would take part in a coalition dispatch of the French-built fighter.

“I will give you neither the name of the partners, nor the definitive number,” he said. “It is more effective and gives less visibility to the adversary.”

France would also train a brigade of Ukrainian troops, he said.

That called for training some 4,500 soldiers, and equipping them with French kit, a military engagement which certainly raised eyebrows and political opposition.

News of the Mirage for Ukraine drew dissent from Marine Le Pen, leader of the National Rally (RN), the rebranded far-right political party formerly known as National Front (FN).

Macron showed “hunger for war,” she said June 7, accusing the French president of increasing pressure, which could lead to “escalation” in the war between Ukraine and Russia.

Snap General Election

Macron again went on television two days later, formally calling for a surprise general election for the French parliament, and dissolution of the lower house National Assembly.

That was Macron’s response to Le Pen’s RN party comfortably leading that day’s election for the European Parliament, the elected arm of the European Union.

While opinion polls had predicted a comfortable lead for the RN in the European Parliament, Macron’s call for a French snap general election came as a political shock.

The first round of votes are due be held on June 30, followed by the second round on July 7, leading to appointment of a new prime minister. Macron will stay on as president.

Macron intended to rally opposition to the far right, and bolster the mainstream political parties, analysts said. But there was high risk the RN could win, perhaps appointing its party president, Jordan Bardella, 28, as prime minister, or holding a key coalition role.

“Yesterday’s (European Parliament) results lead to a political earthquake in France, not so much due to Le Pen’s National Rally’s (RN) spectacular win, which had long been foretold by pollsters, but because of President Macron’s subsequent call for snap elections,” said Célia Belin, head of the Paris office of the European Centre for Foreign Relations, a think tank.

“If the RN were to gain majority or to form a governing coalition, France enters unchartered territories,” she said. “RN’s plans for Europe remain unsophisticated, unpolished and at times contradictory. France’s voice would probably get eclipsed for a while.”

If Le Pen’s party won the Matignon prime minister’s office, it was unlikely she would block the Mirage fighters to Ukraine, said Jean-Pierre Maulny deputy director of Institut des Relations Internationales et Stratégiques, a think tank.

“Macron is the president,” he said, and defense falls under the purview of the presidency.

Le Pen’s priority was to cut immigration, seen as a social issue, rather than military policy, which is a matter for the Elysées president’s office.

“This is below the radar” for her, he said.

A Mirage sale might be delayed if the RN came to power, he said, but the chances the deal would go ahead could be 55-45.

The RN party repaid a controversial loan held by a Russian company, Aviazapchast, daily Le Figaro reported last September.

That repayment stemmed from the €9 million RN borrowed from a Czech-Russian bank in 2014, to pay for Le Pen’s campaign for the French presidency in 2017. French banks had stayed clear of the RN, leading the party to borrow from the First Czech Russian Bank, she said. That Czech-Russian bank later folded.

The French stock market closed down 1.35 pct, with the CAC-40 share index trimming an opening 2 pct drop on Monday, the day after Macron’s call for general election. The euro fell 0.5 pct against the dollar and 0.55 pct against the pound, while the price of French 10-year government bonds also fell sharply.
T

he RN party won 31.4 percent of French votes in the European parliamentary election, beating Macron’s Renaissance party, which received some 14.6 percent, and the Socialists some 14 percent.

Mirage Flip

Meanwhile, Macron’s surprise Mirage-for-Ukraine announcement drew sharp criticism from specialist reporters who said on public social media and private messaging the French air force had said for months Ukrainian officers did not want the fighter, and there were too few units and logistical constraints.

“Now they will have to convince us the opposite,” a specialist reporter said on social media.

There was certainly official concern on the scarcity of Mirages in the French air force.

“We have few Mirage 2000s and service support would be highly challenging,” the armed forces minister, Sébastien Lecornu, told the National Assembly in February, when asked about sending the fighter to Kyiv.

There is a view the French air force could part with six of its total fleet of 26 Mirage 2000-5s, leaving the service with a full squadron of 20 fighters. The service’s Cigogne fighter squadron would be severely depleted if more than six Mirages were sent to Kyiv, media reports said.

Ukraine, however, would need a larger Mirage squadron, to justify the logistical support, analysts said. The Ukrainian air force is getting ready to receive the Lockheed Martin F-16, and already services Mig and Sukhoi fighters, which date back to the Soviet era. Ground crews will need to be trained for distinct service of those fighters and the spares.

France flies its Mirage 2000-5 for air combat with the Mica missile, but the fighter can be adapted for ground attack.

The allied nations flying versions – and potential coalition donors – of the Mirage 2000-5 include Greece, India, and Qatar, while the United Arab Emirates operates the more advanced Mirage 2000-9.

The Ukrainian leader stopped over at Qatar June 5, on his way to France, business website La Tribune reported, and it would have been surprising if he had not discussed the Mirage with his counterpart, Emir Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad al-Thani. Doha is keen to find a buyer for the 12 Mirage 2000-5 flown by the Qatari air force, the media report said.

Greece flies its Mirage 2000-5 armed with the Scalp cruise missile for hitting ground targets. Paris and London have supplied Kyiv with Scalp and its British version, Storm Shadow. The Ukrainian Mig and Sukhoi fighters have been adapted to fire those long-range weapons.

Meanwhile, France was seen as needing to replace the Mirage 2000-5 sent to Ukraine with the Rafale, which would carry a hefty price tag. The Mirage 2000-5 was due to stay in service to 2030 with the French air force.

France flies 26 Mirage 2000-5s, operating from Luxeuil airbase, eastern France, and the Djibouti airbase, the French service said. They fly missions of air police and air defence, and have deployed several times over the Baltic nations – Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania – in the Nato enhanced air policing mission.

The Mirages operating from Djibouti shot down kamikaze drones flown out of Yemen by Houthi rebels, seeking to hit commercial shipping in the Red Sea.
France also flies a 48-strong fleet of Mirage 2000D fighters, with a midlife upgrade.

The Mirage 2000-5 flew in the allied Hamilton mission against Syria in 2017. Those fighters were reported to have flown from Luxeuil, as escort for the five Rafale fighters carrying Scalp missiles, two AWACS spy planes, and six C-135 air tankers for inflight refuelling.

“I’m sure that a day will come when Ukraine will see the same jets in our skies that we saw in Normandy skies yesterday,” Zelenskiy told French lawmakers June 7, referring to the  international commemoration of the D-Day landing on the Normandy beaches – Gold, Juno, Omaha, Sword, and Utah.

Belgium, Denmark, the Netherlands, and Norway have pledged to send F-16s to Ukraine, in response to the Ukraine’s request for 120-130 Western fighters to counter the Russian assault.  Washington has authorized the transfer.

Featured Photo:Mirage 2000-5 jet fighter cockpit close-up. Republic of China mirage 2000-5 jet fighter.Photo taken on:July 19th, 2014 in Taichung,Taiwan.

Making a Good Aircraft Even Better: Osprey Modernization

06/10/2024

By Jo Ann Y. Williams, Ed.D.

Attending SOF Week 2024 in Tampa recently made me reflect on the V-22 Osprey program’s past triumphs and challenges, as well as its future.

Over a decade ago, I was part of a team that helped train Osprey pilots. Many of today’s Osprey squadron commanders are those pilots. With V-22 production winding down and much discussion involving modernization, it’s now time to start thinking hard about what comes next for the Osprey.

“There’s a ton of life left in this platform, and there’s a ton of mission left in this platform,” said Marine Col. Brian Taylor, the V-22 program manager. He recently outlined his thoughts publicly on a long-term plan for modernizing the V-22.

For the sake of the safety, availability and affordability of the Osprey going forward, congressional leaders and senior officials in the Pentagon should give considerable thought to his words, which were revealing.

An Operationally Relevant Configuration: More Bang for the Buck

I’m told when you buy any aircraft over a multi-decade period, you end up with different configurations. In the case of the Osprey, what looks like the same aircraft at first glance may be quite different when you look under the hood.

A variety of configurations presents a host of challenges for aircraft maintenance, for supply chain management, and for the introduction of new capabilities.

To address this, Col. Taylor reported that the Air Force, Marine Corps and Navy are “coalescing on a kind of standard configuration, which is huge.” Huge, indeed!

However, while the services strive for what they consider to be a standard configuration, it’s more important for them to strive towards an “operationally relevant” configuration management plan.

Col. Taylor used a helpful metaphor in thinking about this. “If you think about the car that you bought 25 years ago and the car that you bought today, they are very different. They have different systems, and so [we’re] trying to kind of normalize all the systems and everything on an aircraft.”

A prime example is the Osprey’s mission computer system. Col. Taylor explained that because there are two variants of the Osprey’s mission computers, two different software builds are required. That’s expensive, complex, and time-consuming. Shifting to a single baseline would save taxpayers money and provide more capability, more rapidly, and that improves the experience for V-22 pilots as well.

Col. Taylor noted that “not having the software dependent on hardware” provides “a lot more flexibility in the fleet for mission kitting and things like that.”

Homing in on Nacelle Improvement

Because of the unique confined aerial landing, hovering, and other capabilities, nacelles are a critically important part of the V-22; they include the engines and tilt with the rotors. Sixty percent of the maintenance work on Ospreys is focused on these nacelles.

A nacelle improvement program is in the works that will simplify the nacelle structure. Improving on the decades-old design of wires and junction boxes, the nacelle improvement program uses point-to-point wiring and re-engineers hundreds of parts, lowering costs and saving time.

By focusing on the area of the aircraft that is most prone to reliability and readiness concerns, the nacelle improvement program will both save taxpayers money and make a more ready force.

Air Force Special Operations Command will be the first to put its CV-22s through the nacelle improvement program. The Navy and Marine Corps should carefully study the Air Force metrics used to measure program success and, if the gains are significant, embark on a similar upgrade program.

Modernized Displays and an Open System Architecture

Then there’s the need for a cockpit refresh. Col. Taylor used a helpful metaphor – an older-model car. When you drive a new car off the lot, typically the dash has touchscreens; it interfaces with your mobile devices. A car that’s 20 years old has none of that. And, everyone knows it’s more expensive to replace 20-year-old parts!

“These are a bunch of screens and displays and keyboards and stuff that were developed, back in the late 80s, so keeping them on the aircraft is pretty challenging,” he said. “We are kind of at a tipping point where we are spending enough on just maintaining what we have that it’s time to do something different.”

The answer from the Joint Program Office is a program called the V-22 Cockpit Technology Replacement, or VeCToR. Col. Taylor noted that commercial, off-the-shelf technologies will be a big part of the solution.

The Open System Architecture (OSA) should be a priority, as it can evolve and adapt as future threats emerge.

Leveraging work on the Army’s FLRAA program would provide the Navy and Marine Corps the ability to address legacy system constraints such as computer processing and display interface, while providing a significant cost savings and risk reduction and providing a path to interoperability with the US Army, other services, and foreign militaries who adopt FLRAA variants.

A Longer-Term Aircraft Modernization Approach

Longer-term, the Osprey program is working on its Renewed V-22 Aircraft Modernization Program, or ReVAMP. While in the early stages, Col. Taylor said the approach is, “if we had to do V-22 all over again, what would that look like?”

Maintenance issues and limits to the longevity of the V-22 really focus on things like gearboxes, engines, and wings.

The Joint Program Office study is looking at an improved drive system, new engines or new cores for the existing engines, improved ice protection, and modernization to the aircraft’s maintenance process, said Col. Taylor.

Tiltrotor’s Future

As Col. Taylor said, the mission sets the V-22 are getting into are absolutely unlimited.”

The Army has obviously taken note of that fact, as they have selected a tiltrotor from Bell for the Future Long Range Assault Aircraft. The V-280 Valor FLRAA technical demonstrator was built upon 50 years of lessons learned from the V-22, and the new FLRAA tiltrotor capability will transform how the Army fights.

Not only will other services see the benefit of advanced tiltrotor technology, but this will surely be something America’s strategic partners can benefit from as well.

Meantime, there are hundreds of V-22 Ospreys in service with the Air Force, Marine Corps and Navy, with lots of life left in them. Each of the services, as well as Congress, must ensure they prioritize the readiness and modernization upgrades required to achieve the aircraft availability and affordability goals to meet the challenges of the next several decades.

Bottom line, we owe our warfighters the support it takes to ensure the Osprey, the first operationally viable tiltrotor aircraft, remains a versatile, game-changing platform for decades to come.

Dr. Jo Ann Williams is CEO/Owner of Iron Mine Strategies, a training and education consulting firm. She advocates for and provides researched-based knowledge, critical thinking, and analysis for decision-makers. She is a former Instructional Systems Design Analyst for the V-22 program. 

Featured Photo: U.S. Air Force Airmen assigned to the 20th Special Operations Squadron familiarize themselves with the new nacelle improvement modifications on a CV-22 Osprey tilt-rotor aircraft at Cannon Air Force Base, N.M., Jan. 7, 2022. The improvements should increase aircraft availability and reduce required maintenance actions, leading to increased flying hours. The versatility of the CV-22 offers increased speed and range over other rotary-wing aircraft, which enables the 20 SOS to conduct long-range infiltration, exfiltration and personnel recovery missions deep into enemy territory. (U.S. Air Force photo by Airman 1st Class Drew Cyburt)

On the Osprey nacelle improvement program and its initial imapcts, see the following:

Crafting and Shaping the Nacelle Improvement Program for the Osprey: The Role of Industry

Osprey Major Redesign Effort: Modified CV-22s Arrive at Cannon Air Force Base

Also see the following with the imapct of the Osprey on pacific operations:

Exercise Nordic Response 24: Marines Engaged

U.S. Marines with Marine Aerial Refueler Transport Squadron (VMGR) 252, 2nd Marine Aircraft Wing (MAW), refuel F-35B Lightning II jets with Marine Fighter Attack Squadron (VMFA) 542, 2nd MAW, using aviation-delivered ground refueling during Exercise Nordic Response 24 in Lulea, Sweden, March 13, 2024.

VMFA-542 and VMGR-252 demonstrated aviation-delivered ground refueling during a distributed aviation operation to showcase expeditionary advanced-base operations using host-nation support. The training event marked the first U.S. F-35 landing in Sweden at Kallax Air Base.

Exercise Nordic Response 24 is designed to enhance military capabilities and allied cooperation in high-intensity warfighting scenarios under challenging arctic conditions while providing U.S. Marines unique opportunities to train alongside NATO allies and partners.

LULEA, BD, SWEDEN
03.13.2024
Video by Cpl. Rowdy Vanskike
2nd Marine Aircraft Wing

10th AAMDC Honors D-Day 80 in Normandy

06/09/2024

U.S. Army Col. Lisa Bartel, Deputy Commanding Officer of the 10th Army Air and Missile Defense Command, delivers remarks at a D-Day 80 observance on June 3 in Houesville, France.

This observance marked the 80th anniversary of D-Day in Normandy, France.

Bartel honored the four U.S. soldiers who were killed and the local citizens of Houesville who decorated their graves in honor of their sacrifice. (U.S. Army video by Capt. Alexander Watkins).

HOUESVILLE, FRANCE
06.03.2024
Video by Capt. Alexander Watkins
10th Army Air and Missile Defense Command

First Army Hosts WWII Wreath Ceremony in Normandy on 80th Anniversary

06/08/2024

First Army hosted a wreath laying ceremony at Point Du Hoc, France in honor of the over 60 veterans who made the trip for the the 80th D-Day Commemoration, June 4, 2024.

First Army Division East Command Sgt. Maj. Command Sgt. Major Even Lewandowski, Acting Commander Maj. Gen. William Ryan along with First Army Historian Capt. Kevin Braafladt talk about the importance of D-Day in remembrance of the veteran’s sacrifice.

FRANCE
06.04.2024
Video by Staff Sgt. Justin McClarran
188th Infantry Brigade

A Remembrance on D-Day: The 320th Barrage Balloon Battalion

06/06/2024

By Pierre Tran

Paris – The 80th anniversary of D-Day June 6 1944, marks significance for the family of the late Waverly Woodson, a black army corporal and medic who landed on Omaha beach, Linda Hervieux, journalist and writer, told the Anglo-American Press Association, a press club.

Hervieux is author of Forgotten (U.S. Harper; U.K. Amberley), which tells of the combat soldiers in the U.S. army’s 320th barrage balloon battalion, an African American unit which landed under deadly fire on the Normandy beach.

“Why does it matter?” she said May 15 to the AAPA.

Those black soldiers, after winning initial praise for their part in the longest day, were later largely “excluded” from the history of D-Day, reflecting a history of racial discrimination in the U.S. army, she said.

Some of that social exclusion has been addressed, with Woodson awarded the posthumous award of the Distinguished Service Cross, the army’s highest medal, just as the anniversary of D-Day loomed.

“…the Pentagon and Sen. Chris Van Hollen (D-Md.) announced that Woodson will receive the Distinguished Service Cross, the nation’s second-highest medal for combat valor — as part of a long overdue recent reckoning by the military about how institutional racism suppressed awards for heroic Black soldiers in World War II,” Politico magazine reported June 3.

Woodson’s widow, Joann Woodson, 96, has campaigned for the award of the highest distinction, the Medal of Honor, and that requires presidential approval, as well as the detailed checks by the Pentagon.

“They want the Medal of Honor,” Hervieux said. “They want the big one.”

That battalion of black combat soldiers brought on shore and deployed barrage balloons, seen as vital equipment to protect the troops from attacks from the air. Those hydrogen-filled balloons were designed to deter dive bombers and force enemy fighters to stay high in the sky, putting them in the sights of allied anti-aircraft fire.

Some balloons also were armed with a secret weapon, namely explosives. If a fighter plane hit the restraining wire, there was risk of not just shearing off wings or getting entangled, but also triggering the small bomb attached just below the balloon.

Those barrage balloons were deployed on both the beaches assigned to the American troops, namely Omaha and Utah.

The historical narrative, Forgotten, recounts the stories told by soldiers who served in the all-black combat battalion.

Epic Battle

The secretary of defense, Lloyd Austin, is aware of the campaign to award the late Woodson the Medal of Honor, Hervieux said. Such an award would be something of a victory in an “epic battle,” she added.

The formation of the 320th barrage balloon battalion in the second world war marked something of a cultural break for the U.S. army, which drew many of its officers from the south, she said. That meant most black soldiers were assigned to labor and service battalions, not integrated into combat units.

The Battle of the Bulge in the winter of 1944 changed that, with a pressing need for combat troops no matter what the racial origin. That meant a re-assignment of black American soldiers to combat units.

That barrage balloon battalion was a segregated unit, and the only black combat unit deployed on the assault on Omaha beach on that historic day, the opening of the bloody battle for Normandy.

Woodson was wounded by shrapnel when his landing craft was hit on the morning of 6 June, Hervieux wrote in Time magazine. The corporal made it on to the beach, where he set up a first aid station and gave medical help to dozens of wounded soldiers for 30 hours, before being relieved.

Woodson’s giving medical aid under enemy fire led to a nomination to a Medal of Honor, but that award was withheld.

A fire in 1973 of the national personnel records center in St. Louis destroyed many files, which included accounts of Woodson’s service.

France awarded medals to the American ex-serviceman and other veterans of the balloon battalion, and invited them to Normandy in previous D-Day anniversaries.

Woodson died in 2005, and was buried in Arlington cemetery.

France has withdrawn an invitation to Russia to attend the D-Day anniversary, reversing a decision to allow senior Moscow officials to attend, while excluding president Vladimir Putin.

Some 200 veterans are due to attend.

Several heads of state and government will attend, including U.S. president Joe Biden and his Ukrainian counterpart, president Volodymyr Zelenskiy. Both Britain’s King Charles and the prime minister, Rishi Sunak,  are due to attend, along with Canadian prime minister Justin Trudeau, and German chancellor Olaf Scholz.

Credit Photo: https://www.nationalww2museum.org/events-programs/events/129290-320th-barrage-balloon-battalion-african-american-heroes-d-day