UK MoD and Providing for Flight Training: A PFI Approach

02/07/2016

2016-02-07  The UK MoD has been a pioneer in services contracts and outsourcing those contracts over the years.

The Public Financing Approach or PFI may not be the quickest way to put in place an acquisition and support system. but the UK government uses the approach to leverage the private sector to provide for services.

According to the Ministry of Defence:

Public Private Partnerships (PPPs) are arrangements typified by joint working between the public and private sector. In the broadest sense, PPPs can cover all types of collaboration across the interface between the public and private sectors to deliver policies, services and infrastructure. Where delivery of public services involves private sector investment in infrastructure, the most common form of PPP is the PFI.

PFI: The Government’s Private Finance Initiative (PFI) was introduced in 1992 for consideration by the public sector in its procurement of public infrastructure and services. It has now been superseded by PF2.

PF2 was issued by HMT in December 2012 and looks to address the fundamental concerns with PFI expressed by Parliament, the public sector and taxpayers by introducing public sector equity, funding competitions for private sector equity, promoting access to the capital markets for long-term debt finance, encouraging alternative financing sources, providing greater transparency and more efficient delivery. It may be considered for projects that have in excess of £50m capital expenditure.

PF2 is an arrangement whereby the public sector contracts to purchase services, usually derived from investment in assets, from the private sector on a long-term basis, often between 15 to 30 years.

Under PF2, the private sector puts its own money on the line, and only gets paid if it actually delivers the contracted services to an acceptable standard. If costs overrun, or if the service is not provided, the private sector bears the financial consequences.

Compared with more conventional forms of asset procurement, the PFI is structured to provide a real incentive on the contractor to deliver the underlying asset/s on time and to budget and provides clarity on the level of service expected throughout the contract term against a fixed price.

The UK’s National Audit Office published a report in 2011 which provided an analytical review of the PFI appraoch.

The review found the practice to deliver benefits, but needed to be improved. notably in terms of the government becoming a better customer.

The NAO has concluded that lessons from the large body of experience of using PFI can be applied to improve other forms of procurement and help Government achieve its aim of securing annual infrastructure delivery cost savings of £2 billion to £3 billion. Government should also do more to act as an ‘intelligent customer’ in the procurement and management of projects.

To secure the best value for money from all types of procurement, the public sector needs to develop the ‘enablers of success’ which the NAO has identified. These are collecting better data to inform decision-making; ensuring projects have the right skills; establishing effective arrangements to test, challenge and, if necessary, stop projects; and using commercial awareness to obtain better deals.

A US Navy EA-18G Growler electronic attack aircraft connects with a refuelling hose being trailled from a UK Voyager tanker over Iraq. Photo: AirTanker
A US Navy EA-18G Growler electronic attack aircraft connects with a refuelling hose being trailled from a UK Voyager tanker over Iraq. Photo: AirTanker

The UK has acquired its new tankers under a PFI with a consortium created to work with the MoD, namely air tanker.

The MoD has selected AirTanker, following an open competition, to provide the replacement air-to-air refuelling and air transport capability through the Future Strategic Tanker Aircraft (FSTA) programme. A Private Finance Initiative (PFI) solution is being adopted, in which the private sector will provide not only replacement aircraft, but also a complete and secure long-term service. AirTanker provide a comprehensive service for the RAF to ensure the full operational availability of the fleet over a 27 year period. 

AirTanker will provide the K Mk 2 (Airbus A330 variant) ‘Voyager’ aircraft as 2-point tankers, equipped with 2 FRL Mk32B 900E pods. A number of the aircraft in the fleet will also be capable of being fitted as 3-point (K Mk 3) tankers. Very few internal changes were required to the A330-200 to modify it for the air-to-air refuelling role. In particular no additional fuel tanks are required. As Voyager shares the same wing as the four-engined A340, there is a pre-strengthened location available for mounting the wing Mk32B pods. 

The full passenger and cargo capability can be used while Voyager is configured for AAR operations. The cabin remains fully configured and the cargo compartments are unobstructed. On a typical deployment across the Atlantic, a single aircraft would be able to refuel 4 Tornados and still carry 11,000lb (5000kg) of freight/passengers.

One novel aspect of the contract is the facility to lease the aircraft for civil operations. The considerable commercial demand for the aircraft makes it attractive to third-parties who would operate those aircraft from the fleet that are not immediately required for RAF use. This would deliver a major cost saving to the MoD and taxpayer and ensures that the considerable capability advantages of Voyager are affordable.

The flight training for the aircraft as well as other RAF platforms is being delivered by a PFI managed on the private sector side by Ascent, a joint venture of Babcock with Lockheed Martin.

The UK Military Flying Training System (UKMFTS) takes UK armed forces aircrew from initial training through, elementary, basic and advanced flying training phases preparing them for their arrival at their designated operational aircraft units.

The third A400M Aircraft delivered to the RAF arrived on a glorious sunlit evening into Brize Norton. The Ministry of Defence is pleased to announce it has taken delivery of its third A400M Atlas aircraft which has flown back to the UK. The next-generation transport aircraft took off from the assembly plant in Seville, Spain, and landed at its new home at RAF Brize Norton in Oxfordshire last night following the two and a half hour flight. The aircraft is the third of 22 A400M Atlas to be accepted by the UK as part of a £2.75 billion programme which is on track to meet the UK’s future air mobility requirements.
The third A400M Aircraft delivered to the RAF arrived on a glorious sunlit evening into Brize Norton. The aircraft is the third of 22 A400M Atlas to be accepted by the UK as part of a £2.75 billion programme which is on track to meet the UK’s future air mobility requirements. Credit: RAF

It is operated by Ascent Flight Training, a consortium of Lockheed Martin and Babcock International under a 25-year Private Finance Initiative (PFI) contract for the UK’s Ministry of Defence (MoD).

Apart from the overall contract, the main elements of the system include fixed-wing elementary, basic, multi-engine and fast-jet pilot training, rear crew training and rotary-wing (helicopter) training.

According to a press release by the UK MoD published on February 2, 2016:

The new Fixed Wing flying training system will provide modern training aircraft as well as up-to-date ground based training devices such as simulators and classroom learning for aircrew across the Royal Air Force, Royal Navy Fleet Air Arm and Army Air Corps.

A £1.1 billion contract has been placed with Ascent Flight Training to design, deliver and manage the Fixed Wing training service until 2033 and is expected to provide roughly 200 jobs across the UK, particularly at the key training bases.

Minister of State for Defence Procurement Philip Dunne said:

This is fantastic news for the future of our military aircrew, providing them with a modern training system which will equip them to deliver on the front line.

With our strong commitment to air power as part of the Strategic Defence and Security Review and our investment of £178 billion in equipment over the next 10 years, this contract is further proof of our commitment to invest in the UK’s defence capabilities for the future, ensuring that we continue to be a world leader in military flying training.

The contract, which will cover provision of Elementary Flying Training, Basic Flying Training and Multi-Engine Pilot Training, will deliver through a single prime contractor, ensuring coherent delivery of the training system.

201600201_UKMFTS_pilot_training_info_L

Air Marshal Sir Baz North, the Senior Responsible Owner for UKMFTS, added:

The UK MFTS Fixed Wing Contract provides enhanced synthetic and live flying training for the UK’s military aircrew out to 2033. The service employs modern, adaptable and sustainable systems which exploit the advantages of the simulated environment to prepare our aircrew to meet the challenges of future combat operations.

Air Vice-Marshal Sue Gray, Director of Combat Air at the MOD’s Defence Equipment & Support said:

This contract will replace legacy fleets of aircraft with new, modern platforms that better replicate the aircraft used by front line operational squadrons.

Up-to-date training methods will also be developed to ensure that students are able to progress to operational training more efficiently and provide value for money.

Multi-Engine Pilot Training will be in place from mid-2018 and Basic Flying Training element up and running by early 2019.

Ascent, selected as the MOD’s flying training partner in 2008, will be required to deliver the instruction, infrastructure and support required to provide flying training across the three Armed Services until 2033.

Ascent is a joint venture of Lockheed Martin and Babcock which was established in 2008.

According to the Ascent website:

Existing military training has served the Armed Forces well for many years but the drive to reduce cost while training crews for ever more sophisticated aircraft has been a catalyst for change.

The Ministry of Defence realised that innovation in both financial arrangements and in training delivery could be achieved if all military flying training was included in an industry-led, military-backed new training ‘system’.

This requirement was thoroughly competed and Ascent, a 50/50 joint venture between Lockheed Martin and Babcock International won the contract in May 2008 with a cost-effective, innovative proposal.

Ascent is fully committed to this unique task, and with its shareholders, has the depth of experience to deliver excellence. This contract represents a world-class, efficient and innovative partnering agreement between the finest air and aviation forces, a committed MoD and leading industry partners.

What do we do?

We provide an integrated, coherent tri-service training solution. Everything from training needs analysis, acquisition of training aircraft, training design and curriculum development, provision of site facilities, hangars, classrooms, training devices and simulators. And, most importantly, delivery of training. Safety and efficiency guides each step of the process.

What are we required to deliver?

Closure and ultimately eradication of the training capability gap

Reduction of the overall cost of training by taking a holistic tri-service approach, without compromising output standards

Maximisation of the potential to download live training and optimise the total time in training for all aircrew disciplines

Introduction of the new flying training system without disruption to operational output

And most important of all: production of highly-motivated, capable, agile and adaptable Military aircrew for delivery to their Operational Units.

The larger PFI contains within it a number of subcontractors providing for various capabilities wrapped up in the larger contract.

Andrew Chuter of Defense News explains the approach in February 5, 2016 article.

LONDON — A key part of a contractor-managed program to train future British military aircrew has finally fallen into place with the signing of a deal for a KBR-Elbit Systems joint venture to provide and support three new fixed-wing aircraft fleets as part of the UK Military Flying Training System (UKMFTS).

The private finance initiative (PFI) signed with Ascent, the Lockheed Martin-Babcock joint venture, which runs the UKMFTS program, will see Affinity Flying Training Services procure, operate and maintain 10 Beechcraft Texan T-6C aircraft, and 23 Grob G120TP Prefect turboprops along with five Embraer Phenom 100 jets to train Royal Air Force and Royal Navy air crew. The deal runs until 2033.

Embraer said in a press release accompanying the announcement Feb. 2 that it’s contract includes “an option for additional follow on aircraft.” Other suppliers are reckoned to have similar arrangements in place…..

In total, the Ministry of Defence has set aside £1.2 billion for Ascent to provide fixed-wing training under the UKMFTS deal, a figure which also includes ground-based training devices and infrastructure as well as the platforms…..

Lockheed Martin has been contracted to supply a range of training devices including a full flight simulator for multi-engine pilot training and its Ascent partner, Babcock, will add new infrastructure as part of the fixed-wing training deal.

Ascent was awarded a 25-year PFI contract by the MoD in 2008 to develop and manage a UKMFTS program providing fixed-wing and helicopter pilot and rear crew training.

Affinity’s deal with Ascent is effectively a PFI wrapped inside a larger PFI…..

The program is a substantial win for KBR and its Israeli partner.

For KBR, it’s a boost to its government services business while the oil and gas industry is facing a dip. It also helps replace the fall-off of in-theater support on deployed operations work for which it is probably best known in the defense sector here.

The UK arm of KBR has secured several government services deals in the last few months, including a contract to act as delivery partner in a £1 billion emergency services mobile communications program for the Home Office.

Elbit already has a footprint in the UK, most notably as Thales UK’s partner in the supply of the Watchkeeper UAV program to the British Army.

“This award attests to Elbit’s leading position as a provider of advanced avionics system and training infrastructure, as well as maintenance and logistics support services,” said Butzi Machlis, the president and CEO of Elbit.

The company already runs a PFI-type pilot training program for the Israeli Air Force.

Machlis said the UK was a prime market for Elbit…..

In short, the PFI approach is alive and well, and is the approach being pursued to provide for pilot training in the UK armed forces.

U.S. Navy’s Military Sealift Command: Meeting the Demand from U.S. and Allied Sea Services

02/04/2016

By Robbin Laird, Ed Timperlake and Murielle Delaporte

U.S. Navy’s Military Sealift Command (MSC) stands as the base of the Navy sea pyramid, providing the foundation and services that enable the warfighting ship to operate at and from the sea.

Yet when it comes to the struggle for resources, the services compete for assets and resources which reduce the focus upon the logistical enablers for global operations.

One key enabler, commercial mariners, who are always at sea and do not rotate to shore billets like active duty Sailors, are not visible in the Pentagon’s budget battles.

As the Navy develops and refines the concept of distributed lethality, there is increasing awareness that combat logistics will play a key role if this concept is to become reality.

Not only does the fleet need to operate over greater distances to supply a core combat group, but speed and sustained logistics becomes more important in supporting a fleet, which may well wish to distribute rapidly in times of crisis.

With the coming and in-process retirement of the current generation of mariners, experience gaps are a potential vulnerability.

And the significant decline in the size of the U.S. flag merchant marine fleet engaged in the international trade (less than 80 currently) and the requisite decline in the pool of trained mariners poses a significant strategic challenge looking forward.

MSC is receiving or has received new ships, such as 12 Dry Cargo & Ammunition ships (T-AKE), 10 Expeditionary Fast Transports (T-EPF), previously known as the Joint High-Speed Vessels (JHSV), two Expeditionary Transfer Docks (T-ESD) and the Expeditionary Mobile Base (T-ESB) which is the sea base variant of the ESD.

However, recapitalization remains a work in progress, as with the need to shape a new tanker fleet, and fund supply ships to support the carrier force which senior U.S. Navy Admirals are envisaging.

Without the logistics support, the deployed spider web strike force is not going to go very far.

And some of the new ships have their own challenges, such as the Expeditionary Fast Transport, which requires specialized training for the mariners.

USNS Lewis B. Puller (MLP-3/AFSB) — based on an Alaska-class commercial crude carrier — is designed to host special operations forces (SOF) and mine countermeasure (MCM) helicopters as part of the Navy, U.S. Military Sea Lift Command and the Marines push to more capability for amphibious forces and capacity for seabasing with less expensive ships.
USNS Lewis B. Puller (MLP-3/AFSB) — based on an Alaska-class commercial crude carrier — is designed to host special operations forces (SOF) and mine countermeasure (MCM) helicopters as part of the Navy, U.S. Military Sea Lift Command and the Marines push to more capability for amphibious forces and capacity for seabasing with less expensive ships.

This certainly is true for the Navy’s Littoral Combat Ship (LCS), a ship which does not want to operate very far from ports because it needs constant or what the Navy has called “distance support” and also has significant limitations in extremely rough seas.

The LCS, which has been designed with limited combat capability from the ground up, adds additional complexity to the logistics fleet and its global requirements towards servicing a more distributed fleet.

As the then commander of MSC, Rear Adm. Mark Buzby put it in an interview with us:

SLD: Speaking of the LCS, and the question of the demand side posed by deployed LCSs, how will they impact your workload?

It probably depends on how the LCS is deployed, because if it is dispersed that would be challenging for the MSC fleet. 

Admiral Buzby: It’s going to make us very busy. We’re busy now; it’s going to make us even busier. 

And those particular ships have one refueling station, and they have no connected replenishment, so the only way they can get their supplies at sea is via vertical replenishment on the flight deck.

In mid-December, after visiting the dry cargo & ammunition ship USNS William McLean (T-AKE 12) and the fleet replenishment oiler USNS Kanawha (T-AO 196), we had a chance to talk with Rear Adm. T. K. Shannon, MSC commander, and his staff about the way ahead for MSC in a period of change for the sea services.

Question: Let us start with the major challenges which MSC faces; what would you identify as the most significant challenge?

Admiral Shannon: One thing I wake every morning thinking about is if the President declares the need for the country to go to war, how will the logistical side of the military meet the challenge?

This is a challenge for airlift, land transportation, and for us, of course, sealift.

And a major structural challenge we face is the decline of the U.S. merchant marine.

It is clear and it is a challenge; for we recruit our mariners from the U.S. merchant marine.

Rear Admiral Thomas K. Shannon speaks to the media onboard the USS Carl Vinson, a US nuclear powered aircraft carrier anchored in Hong Kong on December 27, 2011. The USS Carl Vinson, which was commissioned in 1982, is in Hong Kong for a three day visit. AFP PHOTO / AARON TAM
Rear Admiral Thomas K. Shannon speaks to the media onboard the USS Carl Vinson, a US nuclear powered aircraft carrier anchored in Hong Kong on December 27, 2011. The USS Carl Vinson, which was commissioned in 1982, is in Hong Kong for a three day visit. AFP PHOTO / AARON TAM

The Jones Act and the Maritime Security Program are important but not enough.

We need things like more cargo preference to ensure that we have adequate U.S. merchant shipping.

I know some people consider cargo preference corporate welfare.

I consider cargo preference an investment in our national security because if you put some cargo on the table, the U.S. flag will see an opportunity and they will acquire or build U.S. flag ships.

They will flag them in the United States if there’s some cargo there for them to haul.

Question: So from the MSC perspective, one could look at cargo preference as a proactive incentive, which supports the logistical side of sea service operations?

Admiral Shannon: That is a fair way to put it.

With such an approach, we can build capacity in the merchant marine and, in turn, expand the base of mariners available to us in time of need.

Those mariners are critical to us because when you look at today’s MSC report, we have 61 ships in a reduced operating status.

Forty-six of those are over at the Maritime Administration and 15 of them are with Military Sealift Command.

And they’re mostly large roll-on/roll-off vessels and dry cargo vessels; and they’re strategically dispersed around the country with 10 to12 mariners on each ship.

When the president rings the bell, we go to the union halls and we man the ships up to whatever their manning requirement is.

It’s typically about another 20 persons per vessel.

So, right there, 60 times 20, we need 1,200 mariners to fall in from somewhere, and where they’re going to fall in from is the U.S. flagged merchant fleet.

The capacity of a robust U.S. flag merchant marine and its manpower is the engine which enables us to carry our country to war when ordered.

Question: Are we reaching a critical threshold on shortfall?

Admiral Shannon: We are getting awfully close.

Three decades ago, when I came into the U.S. Navy, we had around 400 ships in the merchant marine.

Today that number is down to 77 in the international trade.

Just a few months ago, that number was around 80.

That is a drop from the beginning of 2015.

We are getting close to that magic number where we clearly will not have enough U.S. flagged merchant ships to generate the mariners, which MSC will need to operate, notably when we mobilize.

And it is not just a question of mariners; it is about the shipbuilding base and ship repair facilities being available in the United States.

And when one folds-in anticipated war damage in conflict, the question of repair capabilities is clearly of central significance.

Question: When considering global conflict, the challenge will be to protect the convoys so to speak and to ensure continuous flow of support as well. 

What are concerns with regard to this challenge?

Admiral Shannon: Let us take the case of our support to Iraqi Freedom.

For example, on a single day in 2003, 167 ships under the cognizance of Military Sealift Command were moving cargo to support the operation in the Middle East. Because the sea was uncontested, this was relatively a walk in the park.

Fast-forward to today’s Pacific, where there clearly are powers capable of contesting us at sea.

How then do we do the logistical support necessary for the operation of the sea services operating forward in a contested environment?

Question: It is clear what you are discussing is the surge side of a conflict and suggesting that we are getting to a critical point. 

Do you have reserve officers who might be mobilized?

Admiral Shannon: We do have a pool of reserve officers and they’re in a specialty called the Strategic Sealift Officer program.

It is a limited number, but does exist.

Military Sealift Command ship USNS Lewis B. Puller departs San Diego for its first sail outside of the San Diego area of operations. The underway period is part of the post delivery shake down cruise.
Military Sealift Command ship USNS Lewis B. Puller departs San Diego for its first sail outside of the San Diego area of operations. The underway period is part of the post delivery shake down cruise.

Question: What about the allied demand and support side of the equation? 

When we met with the Captain of the USNS William McLean, he discussed the absence of tankers for the Canadian Navy and his role in tanking various allied ships in a North Atlantic exercise. 

What about the reverse, namely, working relationships with allies which provide support to the U.S. sea services and allies as well?

Admiral Shannon: We have a formal relationship, namely with the British and their Royal Fleet Auxiliary. We do annual staff talks with them and our ships can fall in seamlessly with their logistic ships.

We meet regularly but need to do this in the Pacific as well, with Japan, Australia and India, for example.

We enjoy great relationships with those countries, but I need to increase it to yet another level.

We need to formalize some of our agreements and looking at it together with our allies to make sure we are truly interoperable.

Question: The sea services are undergoing a fundamental change in focus, which is summarized by shaping a sea base approach, which is really about the ability to project the tip of the spear and to link back to air and sea capabilities to extend the lethality and effect of the sea base. 

Obviously, there is a logistical side to this, and the challenge is to have the networks and integration to work in an integrated manner with operational sea basing. 

How would you describe the challenge and the way ahead?

Admiral Shannon: We are clearly working the approach.

How would we task organize logistical support to a deploying sea base?

Military Sealift Command ship USNS Lewis B. Puller seen in Norfolk on December 14, 2015. Credit: Second Line of Defense
Military Sealift Command ship USNS Lewis B. Puller seen in Norfolk on December 14, 2015. Credit: Second Line of Defense

How do we work the command and control, the security and the operational connections?

Sea basing in a contested environment clearly sets demands as well for the kind of logistical support, which will enable combat effectiveness.

Importantly, MSC operates ships that are a part of the seabasing construct including the expeditionary fast transports, expeditionary transfer docks, prepositioning ships, dry/cargo and ammunitions ships and our large, medium-speed roll-on/roll-off vessels.

Question: It is clear that this challenge entails a partnership and allied rework of the operating relationships so that the reach of the sea services can be supported and extended with those of our allies and partners. 

What is your sense of this challenge?

Admiral Shannon: I think that is a key part of the way ahead.

We will not solve the ability to operate in a contested battlespace with our fleet assets alone; we need to work with allies and partners from the ground up on an evolving approach.

Admiral Shannon as Head of Military Sealift Command during a visit to the Pacific at the beginning of taking Command of MSC.
Admiral Shannon as Head of Military Sealift Command during a visit to the Pacific at the beginning of taking Command of MSC.

Question: MSC has under its jurisdiction a wide range of mission ships. 

From one point of view, this clearly is challenging as a command. 

From another point of view, it can drive innovation. 

How does the variety of missions and vessels drive innovation?

Admiral Shannon: One key driver is our close relationship with various parts of the private or commercial sector.

We are never far from a new idea about how to work more effectively.

We are not dependent on the bureaucracy to provide for sponsored innovation.

To a certain extent MSC operates like a commercial business which is very different from the rest of the Navy.

Having our own engineering and contracting authority enables us to seek efficiencies and look for innovative ways to improve the services provides to our customers.

MSC Ship Inventory

This is the third piece generated from our visit to the Military Sealift Command in Norfolk on December 14, 2015.

A Very Capable Multi-Mission Support Ship in the MSC Fleet: Demand Drives Operational Diversity for the T-AKE Ship

01/19/2016 – The USNS William McLean is one of the 14 T-AKE supply ships operating in the Military Sealift Command.

Given the shortage of ships for the USCG and the US Navy, the ship has been tasked to do a diversity of missions far beyond simple fleet replenishment.

As both Captain Phillips and the crew of a sinking sailboat off of the East Coast of the United States were to discover. …

https://sldinfo.com/a-very-capable-multi-mission-support-ship-in-the-msc-fleet-demand-drives-operational-diversity-for-the-t-ake-ship/

Military Sealift Command’s Tanker Fleet: Sea Services Con-Ops Drives Up Demand

01/20/2016 – The Military Sealift Command fleet is being modernized but is facing the challenge of supporting the evolving concepts of operations of the US fleet as it moves toward distributed operations worldwide.

https://sldinfo.com/military-sealift-commands-tanker-fleet-sea-services-con-ops-drives-up-demand/

 

Disruptive Understanding of the Dynamics of Change in History: The Case of the Brazilianists

02/03/2016

2016-02-04 Kenneth Maxwell

In a period of profound historical change as we are undergoing, understanding is at a premium.

And what might be called the “inside the beltway” phenomenon is a key barrier to shaping effective understanding and policy responses.

The culture of the analysts drives the debate, not the perspectives of the cultures and key actors outside of the beltway who are reshaping the historical epoch.

It is the challenge of studying and analyzing, but not understanding.

And the role of group think and conventional wisdom in constraining what needs to be understood and what falls out from the bounds of “acceptable” thinking.

History is a brutal and cruel stage on which conflict of Shakespearean proportions happens on a regular basis.

Yet the script is constantly rewritten by players who force themselves on the stage, and yet are not members of the self-appointed elite.

It is not about building intellectual consensus among “stakeholders” and then history follows their script as they would like it written

We have certainly seen this dynamic in terms of the study of Brazil. The tension between the culture of American Brazilianists has a world all of its own, which may or may not have much to do with understanding where Brazil has been or is likely to go within the region or globally.

I recently rediscovered Richard Morse’s occasional paper on the “Brazilianists.”

In 1980 I had been elected chair of the Brazil Studies Committee of the American Historical Association. It was a two-year term. We decided to devote the annual session to a discussion of the recent publications of the “Brazilianists.” The first year we invited Fernando Novais of the University of Sao Paulo to New York. In 1981 we invited Richard Morse to Los Angeles.

Richard McGee (“Dick”) Morse was at the time the William Bonsall Professor of History at Stanford. Born in 1922, his family had been among the very earliest settlers in New England, arriving in the early 17th century. He had attended Hotchkiss, Connecticut’s most prestigious private school. Like his father, he had attended Princeton University.

Chaos theory can provide insights into how to understand disruptive change. But is not about seminars on intellectual convergence of "stakeholders" Inside the Beltway.
Theories like chaos theory can provide insights into how to understand disruptive change. But is not about seminars on intellectual convergence of “stakeholders” Inside the Beltway.

After military service in the Pacific during the final stages of WW2, he completed a PhD at Columbia University. His dissertation was a history of the urban development of Sao Paulo, published in Brazil in 1970. He then taught at the University of Puerto Rico, Yale, and Stanford, before ending his career as the director of the Latin American program at the Wilson Centre in Washington DC.

Morse was always, despite his withering criticism of academic narrowness, also a very skilful bureaucrat. In the early 1970s he headed the Ford Foundation’s office in Rio de Janeiro. And he was also a very effective head of the Wilson Centre’s Latin American Program.

His most famous book was “O Espelho de Prospero” (Prospero’s Mirror”) published in Brazil by Companhia das Letras in 1988.

Morse always believed that Latin American culture mattered in its own right, not as a mere reflection of North America.

This attitude Morse held was the abiding problem of the way in which North American scholars, with their narrow departmentalised, academic, and impoverished cultural perspectives,  tended to view their southern neighbours.

The great Brazilian critic, Professor Antonio Candido, praised Morse’s book for its “rare erudition and constructive intuition.” But it was not universally well received in Brazil. The Brazilian social scientist, Simon Schwartzman, found the book “profoundly equivocal and potentially damaging in its implications.”

The Mexicans were more complementary. Enrique Krause, writing in his literary magazine “Letras Livres” praised Morse for his sense that Latin Americans had indeed created an original civilization. The book was never published in English.

In 1954, while at Columbia University, Richard Morse had married Emerante (“Ema”) de Pradines, a beautiful Haitian classical ballet dancer who was then studying with Martha Graham. Emerante de Pradinas is an pioneering singer, dancer, and folklorist. Their son, Richard Auguste Morse is a Puerto Rican born Haitian-American musician and manages the grand old Hotel Oloffson in Port au Prince.

Like his father, and grandfather, he also graduated from Princeton.

Richard Auguste Morse founded the mizikrasin band RAM (named after his initials) which performs each Thursday at the Oloffson hotel, the fictional “Hotel Trianon,” which was the setting for Graham Greens’s famous novel “The Comedians.”

The music is a combination of traditional Haitian Voudou ceremonial and folklore music with rock&roll. Richard Auguste Morse has now become a houngan or Voudou priest.

Richard McGee Morse died in Petionville in 2001. “Ema” is still very much alive at 97.

But the influence of that master of the “eroticism of ideas” very much lives on. I well remember the purple faces of the “Brazilianistas”  gathered in Los Angeles in 1981 when Morse delivered his observations on the “Brazilianists; God Bless ‘Em! What in the World is to be Done?

Morse could not resist the Lenin analogy, pointing out that Lenin’s “What Is to be Done” had been published in 1902, the year his father had graduated from Princeton and his friend, the great Brazilian scholar, Sergio Buarque de Hollanda, had been born.

He ever so gently, but ever so decisively, criticized them: They all suspected that they had been insulted, but none of them really understand just how and why.

Put bluntly, to understand what has happened and is likely to happen is not reduced to what analysts think should happen from their own cultural perspectives.

History has a logic of its own, and does not speak to us necessary in the terms which we would like it to.

Understanding is different than the intellectual domination of conventional wisdom of group think.

Pioneers like Morse are crucial to shape disruptive understanding of the dynamics of change in history.

Editor’s Note: From The New York Times obituary published upon his death in 2001.

Richard McGee Morse, a historian who influenced the field of Latin American studies through his belief that the cultures of Ibero America could help Anglo America understand its own assumptions, died on April 17 in Pétionville, Haiti. He was 78…..

Mr. Morse was one of the first academics in the United States to offer a nontraditional analysis of Latin America by suggesting, often to the dismay of contemporaries, that English-speaking North America had much to learn from the cultures of Spanish-, Portuguese- and French-speaking countries of the South.

His most influential work was perhaps ”Prospero’s Mirror,” published in Spanish in 1982 and in Portuguese in 1988, but never entirely in English.

”For two centuries a North American mirror has been held aggressively to the South, with unsettling consequences,” he wrote in the preface. ”The time has perhaps come to turn the reflecting surface around. At a moment when Anglo America may be experiencing failure of nerve, it seems timely to set before it the historical experience of Ibero America, not now as a case study in frustrated development but as the living-out of a civilizational option.”

An Update on India’s Light Combat Aircraft

2016-02-03 The development of India’s indigenous fighter is an important development for India and might well reshape the export market as well.

It has been an uphill battle to develop the aircraft and to get it into production and operations.

But India is making clear progress with regard to the way ahead for the LCA.

Our strategic partner, India Strategic has provided important insights into the effort and here we are republishing three recent articles, which provide important perspectives with regard to the program and the way ahead.

The first article was published in January 2016, and focuses on the appearance of the LCA at the Bahrain air show, the first time the plane flew outside of Indian airspace.

And in this article, an interview of the HAL Chairman and Managing Director by Gulshan Luthra highlighted the way ahead. 

HAL Chairman and Managing Director (CMD) T Suvarana Raju told India Strategic that Defence Minister Manohar Parrikar had accorded approval a few months back as there was interest in the aircraft from a couple of countries. He declined to elaborate as weapon exports are determined by the Government, that is, the Ministries of External Affairs and Defence and the process is in their purview. 

He said that the first of the 20 LCA Mk 1 aircraft ordered by the Indian Air Force (IAF) would be delivered by 2018 beginning 2016, and HAL was now also working on its Mk 1A version which will be fitted with AESA and other electronic warfare systems either from Israel Aerospace Industries’ Elta or US Raytheon companies. 

The latter has developed what it calls RACR (Raytheon Advanced Combat Radar) for smaller jets and it was offered if India had selected the Lockheed Martin’s F 16 in the MMRCA competition. 

The development of LCA Mk IA should generate substantial interest, particularly after it is inducted by the Indian Air Force (IAF). 

The Mk 1A version will be slightly larger to accommodate the AESA (Active Electronically Scanned Array) radar, RWR (Rear Radar Warning) and SPJ (Self Protection Jammer) systems, three critical components that were required in IAF’s MMRCA competition also, and will make it a potent attack machine. 

HAL Chairman and Managing Director (CMD) T Suvarana Raju standing next to the Tejas. Credit: India Strategic
HAL Chairman and Managing Director (CMD) T Suvarana Raju standing next to the Tejas. Credit: India Strategic

The aircraft is under parallel development and it would take a few years to certify it and make it ready for IAF as well as exports. The size is being increased by inserting a plug in the middle.

The France-based European Airbus group has been helping in the LCA project under a short-term contract but has offered to assist in further development of the aircraft even to Mk 2 variant. There is no decision yet however as HAL has plans also for AMCA (Advanced Medium Combat Aircraft) with futuristic capabilities. 

Mr Raju said the LCA is primarily a digital fly by wire system and so will be its components. The development of the aircraft has brought in a lot of technology and experience to HAL, which now aspires to be an integrator. 

Modules and components can be made by both the public and private sector companies in line with the Government’s Make in India policy and integration of flying machines can be entrusted to HAL. That will also help in realizing the potential for exports. Significantly, he pointed out, HAL has started inducting 3D Printing technologies to cut short the design and production processes….. 

Asked to comment on HAL’s history of 75 years, Mr Raju said that the state-run company had produced 15 types of aircraft, 14 of them under license, 3800 aircraft, 5000 engines, and some components for India’s space program. HAL has its footprint in 80 per cent of IAF’s aircraft. 

There is emphasis now also on developing expertise and training in aviation in line with the Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s Make in India, Skill India and Digital India campaigns. 

The Defence Minister has already extended full support to HAL in this perspective.

India has taken part in defense exhibitions in the Gulf beginning with IDEX’93 and IDEX’95 in Abu Dhabi, but by and large, the participation has been moderate and inconsistent, largely because of India’s traditional policy of not exporting any lethal weapons. The reluctance of the governance system has been reversed over the last few years. 

There is though a new momentum in the process.

http://www.indiastrategic.in/topstories4506_India_Decides_to_Export_Light_Combat_Aircraft.htm

The second article by Gopal Sutar, the Chief of Media Communications at Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd provides his perspective on the importance of the LCA program for India and the region was published this month.

As far as the Bahrain show is concerned, according to Chairman and Manging Director of Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd. (HAL), T Suvarna Raju, two Limited Series Production (LSP) aircraft took part. The performance covered aerobatic maneuvers in what is called 8-g pull, vertical loop, slow fly past, and barrel roll in defense parlance.

He also pointed out that HAL, which is associated with the design, development and production of Tejas, has set-up a state-of-the-art, environmentally-controlled division in Bengaluru for the production of LCAs and expected to roll-out soon. 

Image Courtesy: Basani Satheesh Kumar, Indian MoD
Image Courtesy: Basani Satheesh Kumar, Indian MoD

However, what is of significance is, participation of this kind brings less-known names to the attention of international customers and media. There is no doubt that for countries facing huge defense manufacturing challenges, it is important that their products — helicopters, trainers, transport and fighter aircraft, and drones of various kinds — must be demonstrated at international air shows to impress upon those who are in need of these products. 

The defense sector is completely dominated by Western powers, thanks to their robust manufacturing, research and technology set-ups. Aerospace is a complex area with zero tolerance for the smallest error. 

While Western countries remain in the forefront, Asia at best could be described as a laggard as it was unable to overcome the investment and technological challenges peculiar to the aerospace sector. 

It takes years, even decades, for one product to get accepted in an unforgiving market. Today, although things have improved, these countries are aware that there is still some distance to go to match the skill-sets and R&D set-ups that exist in defense manufacturing in the US or France. 

According to one estimate, 54 per cent of India’s population is under 30 years and the ratio of the population in the working age group of 15-59 years is likely to be 64 per cent by 2021. India will thus approximately have 25 per cent of the world’s total workforce by 2025. 

One needs to exploit this by creating the right opportunities in different sectors — aerospace is one of them. 

It is true that for most of developing countries, it is daunting to aggregate the skill requirements of the industry, address the sub-sectors and regional requirements keeping line with international trends and best practices. But whatever the challenges Asia faces, it is welcome sign that countries like India have debuted in a critical segment such as fighter aircraft. 

Tejas is a single-engined, lightweight, highly agile, multi-role supersonic fighter. It is a 4.5 generation aircraft with supersonic capability at all altitudes. It is fly-by-wire and has an open architecture computer for avionics and better weapon and combat capability. With advanced avionics, the pilot load is also reduced. 

LCA2

Already, the Sarang helicopter display team of the Indian Air Force — that flies four HAL-produced Dhruv helicopters — has enthralled visitors at different places including Bahrain. HAL Dhruv is suitable for increased payload at higher altitudes and has been developed for the Indian defense Forces. More than 200 helicopters have been produced so far, cumulatively clocking around 142,000 hours of flying.

In future, one hopes there will be more opportunities to showcase new variants of ‘Make in India’ copters. 

Considering that for any Asian country, buying a plane or a helicopter from the West comes at a very heavy price, cost-effective fighters and helicopters manufactured in Asia are bound to impress the potential customers. It also means enormous pressure on those involved in the process … but then that is the nature of the defense business. 

The future course would depend on how the aerospace manufacturing ecosphere evolves in Asia and India in particular. One hopes the Bahrain show paves the way for an Asian emergence, at least on a small scale at the international level.

http://www.indiastrategic.in/topstories4576_LCA_A_chance_for_Asia_to_pull_out_the_big_guns.htm

These articles were republished with the permission of our partner India Strategic.

 

 

Is the Predator C in India’s Future?

02/01/2016

2016-02-01 By Gulshan Luthra

The Indian armed forces have suffered from Time and Technology challenges over the last 25 years but apparently to make up for the lost time, the Government has now approved IAF requirements for unmanned combat aircraft, technically called Unmanned Combat Aerial Vehicles (UCAVs).

India has been buying Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) from Israel from the late 1990s for the Army for surveillance (only) in border areas.

But the success of US combat drones in Afghanistan in neutralizing hostile targets with precision had prompted the Indian Air Force (IAF) to ask for these deadly pilotless attack machines several years back.

Reliable sources told India Strategic that India has officially mentioned the requirement for Predator C, built by General Atomics, during the visit of Defence Minister Manohar Parrikar to Washington in December, and that this is likely to be on the US-India bilateral agenda when Prime Minister Narendra Modi goes there March-end.

He will be paying his first official visit to the US this time at the invitation of President Barack Obama, and discussions are on between the officials of the two countries to prepare for what should be on the table for appending signatures during the high-level visit.

India has interest in both Predator XP, which is available for export right away after procedural clearance from the US Departments of State and Defense as it only carries cameras and surveillance equipment, and the Predator C, which can execute precision attacks on terrorists and their vehicles and houses alike.

The armed version however cannot be acquired by India from any country unless it is cleared by the Missile Technology Control Regime (MTCR), one of the four denial regimes set up against India after its 1974 nuclear test.

The United States, which has spearheaded a campaign for global cooperation for India in civil nuclear energy, has promised to have this restriction lifted.

The only reservation is from Italy, which is upset over the trial of two of its naval crew after they shot an Indian fisherman, mistaking him for a terrorist (The 34-member grouping requires unanimity in decision-making, and India’s application for membership is pending since June 2015).

Predator C (Avenger)
Predator C (Avenger)

Notably, IAF has serious problems in the number of combat aircraft in its inventory, although now an agreement with France for the acquisition of 36 – or more – Rafale Medium Multi role Combat Aircraft (MMRCA) is on the anvil.

The acquisition of UCAVs however is a parallel requirement, and this was stated as such some years back by the then Chief of Air Staff Air Chief Marshal NAK Browne as a natural progression, particularly keeping in mind the hostile terror-infested environment around India.

Understandably both the UAVs and UCAVs are required by IAF, as these are strategically important – they have no pilots onboard and can be controlled from anywhere in the world through satellite communications.

There could also be UCAV requirements from the Navy and Army, depending upon the capabilities of the emerging systems and cost factors.

India has been using Israeli Searcher and Heron UAVs. Israel successfully demonstrated the role of UCAVs before the US Air Force (USAF) inducted them, but it is not known if they are available to India as yet.

Perhaps yes, as Israel has sold some sophisticated Electronic Warfare (EW) systems including radars to India already. But MTCR restriction would still need to be cleared.

The Indian Army first purchased the Israeli Searcher Mark-1 UAVs in view of the Pakistan’s Kargil attacks in 1999, and then the IAF and Navy followed with their own requirements. The UAVs are used for surveillance in the border areas and at sea around the Indian Navy formations.

The armed version is a natural progression since then, and whether Afghanistan, Iraq, Syria or Libya, the western forces have extensively used them there to locate and destroy hostile targets without putting their pilots at harm’s way.

The Predator C, also called Avenger, can fly for about 18 hours, carry some 1,400 kilos of weapons and missiles, and can be triggered into firing them from a command centre on land, ship or air.

There is no official confirmation from New Delhi – these are hardly stated to the press anyway – but there have been media reports in the recent past in this regard.

And of course, as India’s Defence Research and Development Organisation (DRDO) is yet far away in delivering an indigenous system, the country has to look elsewhere.

General Atomics is a US jewel in technology in nuclear, electromagnetic propulsion and aerial systems.

It picked up Dr Vivek Lall, who had successfully led Boeing’s campaigns for selling military aircraft to the IAF and Indian Navy, as its Chief Executive, US and International Strategic Development. Although he has global responsibilities,

India is his immediate focus given the fast-developing cooperation between Washington and New Delhi in defense and impending civil nuclear energy.

India is already operating a total of 176 Israel-made drones including 108 IAI Searchers and 68 unarmed Heron-1 aircraft for surveillance and reconnaissance missions.  The IAF also fields a fleet of  IAI Harpy drones – a self-destruct aircraft carrying a high-explosive warhead and primarily used for taking out enemy radar stations. Between 1985 and 2014, India was the top importer of UAVs worldwide. In September 2015, the Indian government apprroved the purchase of 10 missile-armed Heron TPs. Credit Photo: Israeli Aerospace Industry
India operates a total of 176 Israel-made drones including 108 IAI Searchers and 68 unarmed Heron-1 aircraft for surveillance and reconnaissance missions.  The IAF also fields a fleet of  IAI Harpy drones – a self-destruct aircraft carrying a high-explosive warhead and primarily used for taking out enemy radar stations. Between 1999 and 2014, India was the top importer of RPAs worldwide. In September 2015, the Indian government apprroved the purchase of 10 missile-armed Heron TPs. Credit Photo: Israeli Aerospace Industry

A renowned aerospace scientist, Dr Lall is an American of Indian descent, and has worked also with NASA and Raytheon.

One of the items on his agenda is the sale of unmanned systems to friendly countries that the company designates in its lingo as Remotely Piloted Aircraft (RPAs) or Unmanned Aircraft Systems (UAS).

Asked about India’s interest in Predator series of UAVs and UCAVs, Dr Lall said he was aware of it but could only say that while the Predator XP was available without any MTCR-related restrictions, any combat drone could only be sold by the US after Congressional clearance and export laws.

He said he could not however confirm or deny if India had indeed asked for these lethal flying machines.

He commented though: The Predator-series RPA have been updated with state-of-the-art technologies, including an automatic takeoff and landing capability, redundant flight control surfaces, enhanced avionics, and triple-redundant flight control computers.

GA-ASI (General Atomics – Aeronautical Systems Inc.) is also committed to developing a Detect and Avoid (DAA) capability for its RPA.”

They are also useful in disaster relief operations on land and sea, giving real time information of critical areas and help guide personnel and equipment.

Another advantage, according to Dr Lall, was the interoperability of GA-supplied systems with US origin aircraft with IAF and Indian Navy.

Asked about possible transfer of technology and coproduction in India in view of the Indian Government’s Make in India program, he said General Atomics would be willing to work with international industrial partners, but that this would depend upon the agreements and diplomatic understandings between the US and India.

This article was republished with permission of our partner India Strategic.

A South African Perspective on the Challenge of Maritime Defense and Security

01/30/2016

2016-01-30 Recently, our partner defenceWeb looked at the evolving challenges of maritime defense and security seen from South Africa.

Thursday, 28 January 2016

Economic growth through development of the ocean economy as part of Operation Phakisa requires effective maritime surveillance and defence, with nearly 4 000 kilometres of South Africa’s coastline that needs to be secured.

The first phase of its Operation Phakisa focuses on South Africa’s oceans and it is estimated that the blue economy could contribute up to R177-billion to the country’s GDP by 2033. According to President Jacob Zuma, it could create as many as one million direct jobs, with millions of other citizens benefiting indirectly.

Operation Phakisa’s blue economy boost is based on marine transport and manufacturing, including refurbishing and shipbuilding; offshore oil and gas exploration; aquaculture and marine protection service and ocean governance, both of which will see heavy involvement from the SA Navy.

“It’s clear that as the activity on our coastlines increases, so too will our economic growth.

However, this will also lead to a greater need for efficient, effective security,” said Johan Rattvall, Marketing Executive Manager at Saab Grintek Defence.

superlynx_400x300

The South African Navy (SAN) is quartered at three garrisons along the coast in Saldanha Bay, Simon’s Town and Durban, and boasts a relatively small force of 7 700 troops. These hard-pressed resources perform search and rescue missions and protect maritime resources, amongst other duties.

“Even though the SAN is putting its resources to their best possible use, the oceans are vast, above and below the water line, and monitoring and protecting all who are active there will require innovative surveillance solutions, along with responsive and effective security and defence interventions,” said Rattvall.

The last 20 years have seen a general increase in trafficking, poaching and piracy on ungoverned waters all over the world, which in turn have had serious effects on many countries’ economies.

Even the more powerful nation-states that have massive security and firepower at their disposal have been impacted by maritime crime.

At the moment Europe is struggling with hundreds of thousands of migrants crossing the Mediterranean and flooding across its borders.

According to defence analyst Helmoed Romer Heitman, the whole region, and not just South Africa, needs to be secure from a maritime perspective.

“We need the region around us to be stable, secure and prosperous.

The better off they are, the more they can buy from us and the fewer illegal immigrants we will have.

And the holiday lodges along the Mozambique coast that are owned by South Africans are also benefitting because their clients can go out safely to fish and actually catch fish as a result of the presence of a warship having put a major damper on all types of maritime misbehaviour.

Regional security operations are not about us being charitable towards our neighbours, they are about our own self-interest.

And that applies especially to the Mozambique Channel as most of our oil and a lot of our foreign trade pass through there.”

With its long coastlines and vast oceanic territory, South Africa needs to have capability for surveillance, communication, command and control, Saab believes.

“If you don’t have the awareness that surveillance brings you, you have nothing to control or to respond to. A system such as the Saab 340 Maritime Security Aircraft (MSA) offers long-reaching surveillance, as well as command and control capability, providing support for vessels out on the water,” Rattvall said.

The Saab 340 MSA is centred around the Saab Mission Management System. Communication is a key element of maritime domain awareness, and the Saab 340 MSA is equipped with Secure-AIS data links and a SATCOM system. In addition to ocean surveillance, the Saab 340 MSA is suited for search and rescue, oil spill and pollution detection, fisheries inspection, counter smuggling surveillance, illegal immigrant control, transportation, medical evacuation and exclusive economic zone monitoring, Saab said.

According to Heitman, a King Air or something similar, such as a Saab 340, Dornier 228 or C212 in a proper maritime surveillance configuration would be ideal for monitoring South Africa’s mainland exclusive economic zone [EEZ], and could in the interim also help support the SAN’s four Valour class frigates in the Mozambique Channel.

“Considering aircraft and again allowing for the Channel, we should probably look at about eight King Air or similar aircraft for the coastal and EEZ surveillance mission,” Heitman said. “But we will also need a long-range/high-endurance type for the islands and for the SASAR [South African Search and Rescue Organisation] requirement, for which the actual maritime C-130 would be ideal, pretty much the only type with the range and endurance that we can more or less afford, and those could also be used for airborne command post work and – after a respray – long-range SF [special forces] operations and as a back-up to the airlifter fleet in a crisis.”

Heitman believes at least four SH-130J Sea Hercules or HC-130J (the US Coast Guard variant) are needed to look after islands and South Africa’s SASAR commitment, as well as backing up the smaller type.

“As and when money becomes available we can look at a proper MPA [maritime patrol aircraft] and also at UAVs [unmanned aerial vehicles] to thicken up the surveillance coverage and to free aircraft for deployment to help other countries.”

A Coast Guard HC-130 Hercules aircraft at Air Station Elizabeth City http://www.wvec.com/news/Coast-Guard-to-warn-boaters-about-Hurricane-Irene--128375478.html
A Coast Guard HC-130 Hercules aircraft at Air Station Elizabeth City http://www.wvec.com/news/Coast-Guard-to-warn-boaters-about-Hurricane-Irene–128375478.html

Other aircraft that have been suggested by Heitman for the maritime surveillance role include the C295 and C212.

Lockheed Martin has offered its C-130J Super Hercules to meet the South African Air Force’s tanker, transport and maritime patrol requirements.

Ray Fajay, Director, Air Mobility Business Development at Lockheed Martin Aeronautics, last year said the SC-130J Sea Hercules would be ideal to support the SAAF’s maritime surveillance/patrol requirements and replace its 70 year old C-47TPs.

This variant can be fitted with ESM (electronic support measures) equipment, six torpedoes, infrared sensors, maritime surveillance radar, sonobuoys, magnetic anomaly detector and four anti-shipping missiles.

A single Sea Hercules would be able to patrol all three of South Africa’s exclusive economic zones in one mission, according to Lockheed.

Various other manufacturers in addition to Saab and Lockheed Martin have eyed South Africa’s maritime surveillance/patrol aircraft requirements, and L-3 has offered its King Air-based Spydr, Bombardier its Dash 8 Q400, and HAL and RUAG the Do 228. Other potentially suitable aircraft include the Viking Twin Otter, CN-235MP and ATR-42/72MP.

“At the moment anyone who believes that we have a maritime surveillance capability is indulging in magnificent self-delusion – neither the C-47TPs nor the C-130s have the necessary capabilities,” Heitman affirms.

The several C-47TPs used by the South African Air Force’s (SAAF’s) 35 Squadron for maritime surveillance are barely adequate for the job, as they have no special mission sensors such as infrared or even optical cameras or radar, and are around 70 years old.

Heitman points out that the SAAF cancelled Project Saucepan for new maritime surveillance aircraft, but did promise to move ahead with the maritime patrol aircraft project (Metsi). “That said, I saw no funds for Metsi in the budget, which is worrying.”

South African Gripen in operation. Credit: DefenceWeb
South African Gripen in operation. Credit: DefenceWeb

“Given that we have nothing and do not seem likely to get anything soon – the SAAF cancelled Project Saucepan for reasons that remain unclear, and Metsi is not on the horizon yet – we need to grasp at whatever straws are available,” Heitman states, and suggests using Gripens for surveillance, as the Swedes do.

“The Gripens could fly reconnaissance sorties along the coast and even over the Mozambique Channel, to at least provide a radar picture of what traffic there is. Using their reconnaissance pod they could even provide imagery of any ships believed to be suspect.

Better than nothing; would give the fighter types some flying hours; and could be used to practise them in some aspects of the gentle art of anti-ship strikes.”

Heitman points out that the need to protect and monitor South Africa’s coastline and EEZ requires a mix of aircraft and ships, because aircraft cannot stay out long enough and cannot carry out an arrest.

In terms of vessels, Heitman believes that “accepting that the Mozambique Channel is a vital interest of SA’s (oil route, future offshore gas and oil, Maputo harbour), and that we need to show ourselves in West Africa at least some of the time, the Navy should have a patrol force of at least eight large OPVs [offshore patrol vessels] with embarked helicopters in addition to the four frigates and at least two but preferably three support ships. Plus some small IPVs [inshore patrol vessels] for harbour environs.

The submarines then continue to provide strategic surveillance. LHDs [landing helicopter docks] would need to be added if we want to play a regional role.”

“Study of the DR [2014 Defence Review] will show that the absolute minimum number will be eight [OPVs], accepting some gaps and some tasks falling to the frigates,” Heitman stated.

Under Projects Hotel and Biro, the South African Navy will receive three inshore and three offshore patrol vessels, and a new hydrographic survey vessel.

Armscor is currently evaluating bids from various shipyards for OPVs and IPVs under Biro.

The Spanish Offshore Patrol Vessel, ESPS Relámpago
The Spanish Offshore Patrol Vessel, ESPS Relámpago

Some of the local shipyards bidding for Biro include Southern African Shipyards, in partnership with Vard (formerly STX) and paramount Naval Systems/Nautic Africa, which has partnered with Austal and Navantia. Damen Shipyards Cape Town, Abeking & Rasmussen and Poly Technologies are also interested in Biro.

The six new Biro hulls are expected to be taken into service in three to four years from now and will, at least initially, work alongside the current OPVs. These are the converted Warrior Class strikecraft SAS Isaac Dyobha, SAS Galeshewe and SAS Makhanda.

According to the Department of Trade and Industry (DTI) the 60% local content requirement on both projects will see a projected spend of over R6 billion over the next three to four years. The local content requirement will guarantee that at least the hulls are built in South Africa.

“The problem is that gearing up to build just three ships is plain silly. If we were going for a two-phase project of six ships per phase, with smaller vessels and refits etc. between the two, it would make sense. To make all that investment for three is not good economics or even good strategy, given that the capability will be lost almost as soon as the last ship is delivered,” Heitman cautions.

He suggests developing a proper long-term fleet plan from the Defence Review and then developing a 30-year ship-building programme to build most or even all of the surface ships. “That will probably not be cost-effective per type, but would give a revived ship-building and outfitting industry a baseload of work on which to enter other markets, particularly for the offshore gas and oil industry.

“Considering numbers, the DR argues for three vessels operational at all times in SA waters and four for regional work. Assuming all of them are to be OPVs, keeping the four frigates in hand as a reserve and for more serious challenges (or when a high speed run is required as in the Tristan rescue a while ago), that means seven OPVs operational, which argues for about 10 in total. If we assume that the frigates are part of the four in regional waters, we will still need five OPVs operational, which argues for eight to allow for refit, training and for training with off-board MCM systems.”

“South Africa needs Project Biro to better police its huge maritime domain, which is 1 553 000 square kilometres in size and often labelled its ‘10th province’. Claiming sovereignty over such a large area also gives South Africa substantial international duties and obligations, as recognised and envisioned in the Defence Review. These include search and rescue, hydrography, disaster response and assistance, peace support operations and naval diplomacy,” Timothy Walker, Researcher, Conflict Management and Peacebuilding Division, ISS Pretoria, pointed out.

“The IPVs would patrol South Africa’s coast and territorial waters for criminal activities, while the helicopter-equipped OPVs would have the ability to operate further out into South Africa’s exclusive economic zone and the high seas,” he said.

Heitman is of the opinion that additional shipboard helicopters should be acquired to support Navy vessels.

At the moment there are four Super Lynx maritime helicopters to support the four Valour class frigates, but Heitman believes two are needed per deployed frigate, as well as one per OPV, two medium helicopters per support ship and some for training and in the maintenance cycle.

As it is unlikely that the OPVs will be large enough to operate or even carry two helicopters, perhaps one plus some UAVs should be acquired, Heitman believes, like the Camcopter and/or the Scan Eagle – the former for close-in work (monitoring a ship being boarded) and the latter for long range surveillance.

Civilian contractors from Insitu Inc., launch a Scan Eagle unmanned aerial vehicle from the flight deck of the amphibious dock-landing ship USS Gunston Hall (LSD 44). Credit: Navy Media Content Services, 4/28/12
Civilian contractors from Insitu Inc., launch a Scan Eagle unmanned aerial vehicle from the flight deck of the amphibious dock-landing ship USS Gunston Hall (LSD 44). Credit: Navy Media Content Services, 4/28/12

Heitman dismissed the idea of using the SAAF’s A109 fleet for shipboard use as they have not been designed for maritime operations and protected against corrosion, and have proven less than completely satisfactory in South African Air Force use.

Apart from ships and aircraft, Saab believes other technology could make a meaningful difference to maritime security programmes, such as Saab Grintek Defence’s R5 Supreme AIS transponder system, the CoastWatch vessel traffic management and information service, TactiCall and Saab Port Management Solutions, among others.

“Comprehensive maritime security solutions require a multidimensional approach, engaging naval and political stakeholders as well as internationally recognised leaders in security and defence,” said Rattvall. “Close collaborations of this nature are sure to see the implementation of integrated, cost-effective solutions that will make meaningful strides in implementing maritime security.”

http://www.defenceweb.co.za/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=42154:feature-maritime-defence-an-essential-part-of-operation-phakisa-&catid=32:Military%20Art%20&%20Science&Itemid=112

Note: The Spanish Navy OPV “Relámpago”, designed and built by Navantia, is a potential candidate for the BIRO program, in which this ship can be adapted to the requirements of the South African Navy.

Spanish shipbuilder Navantia is actively promoting the Avante 3000 class of Offshore Patrol Vessel to the South African Navy.

The ESPS Relámpagois payed an informal visit to Cape Town over the period 19 to 22 December 2012.The Spanish Ministry of Defence said that the visit is aimed at providing the crew with rest as well as enhancing cooperation and ties with the South African Navy. On her return journey, she will strengthen maritime security cooperation with other African navies.

With a displacement of 2,650 tons and a length of 94 meters, the Relámpago (“Lightning”) is an Offshore Patrol Vessel designed to protect sea areas of interest for Spain, maintain a naval presence overseas and carry out Maritime Security tasks where required. Intended for low intensity scenarios, the class is deployable in all oceans, self-sustained for long periods at sea in all meteorological conditions.

The SA Navy is looking to acquire new offshore (OPV) and inshore (IPV) patrol vessels under Project Biro. Navantia said that the ship can be adapted to the requirements of the South African Navy. “This OPV is a medium sized, multipurpose and high performance ship with great versatility regarding missions (and) has low acquisition and life cycle costs,” a Navantia spokesperson explained.

The southern oceans off South Africa’s coast are notorious for their rough sea conditions. The Avante 3000 class vessel is able to operate in a sea state of 6, with waves up to 4 metres in height. This was the exact conditions that the Relámpago faced during her journey from Mozambique to Cape Town.

When asked by defenceWeb what the conditions were like, Naval LieutenantTasar Hernandez, Second-in-Command of the Relámpago, responded: “The ship was very stable, no problem for the two days.”

Although the third of the “Meteoro” class Avante 3000 maritime patrol ships built for the Spanish Navy, she is the first to undertake an international deployment when she left the Spanish port of Rota on 17 August. She first participated in Active Endeavour, helping NATO patrol the Mediterranean Sea to monitor shipping to help detect, deter and protect against terrorist activity.

Thereafter she participated in Operation Atalanta, spending over three months with the EU Naval Force fighting piracy off the Somali Coast. This included the protection of vessels of the World Food Programme (WFP) delivering food aid to displaced persons in Somalia and the protection of African Union Mission in Somalia (AMISOM) shipping. She made a name for herself when, on 8 September, she rescued 68 people after finding them adrift in a small boat in the middle of the Gulf of Aden.

Prior to her arrival in Cape Town, the Relámpago spent two days in Maputo, Mozambique. She will visit several African countries along the west coast of Africa before patrolling the waters off the Canary Islands. She is only due to complete her maiden deployment in February 2013, having completed a journey of almost 30 000 nautical miles.

Egypt Receives Second Delivery of Rafales

01/29/2016

2016-01-29 According to our partner defenceWeb, the Egyptian air force has received a second batch of three Rafales from France.

The aircraft were all two-seat Rafale DM variants – on 16 February 2015, Egypt ordered 16 two-seat DMs and eight single-seat Rafale EMs.

The first three delivered were also two-seaters and arrived in Egypt on 21 July 2015, allowing them to take part in the opening of the expanded Suez Canal in August.

The Rafales will be operated by the 203rd Tactical Fighter Wing ‘Storm’/34 Squadron ‘Wild Wolves’.

Egyptian_Rafales_400x300(1)

Egyptian Rafales will be armed with Mica air-to-air missiles, Scalp cruise missiles and AASM Hammer guided missiles.

The first three Rafales were originally produced for the French Air Force but were diverted to Egypt instead, after some French equipment was removed.

The remainder are due to follow at a rate of five aircraft per year.

France has ordered 180 Rafales and received 137 so far.

In April 2015 India ordered 36 Rafales while in May Qatar signed a contract for 24 of the jets.

Egypt recently took delivery of additional F-16s.

On 29 October the final four of 12 F-16 Fighting Falcons arrived at Cairo West Air Force Base from the United States.

The eight preceding F-16s were delivered to Egypt on July 30 and 31.

The United States froze the delivery of military hardware to Egypt in 2013 after former President Mohamed Mursi of the Muslim Brotherhood was overthrown by the military after mass protests against his rule.

In late March 2015, US President Barack Obama lifted a hold on a supply of arms to Cairo, authorizing deliveries of US weapons valued at more than $1.3 billion, including 12 Lockheed Martin F-16s, 20 Boeing Harpoon missiles, and up to 125 M1A1 Abrams tank kits made by General Dynamics.

Meanwhile, a two-seat F-16 of the Egyptian Air Force was destroyed in a crash on 27 January after technical failure during an exercise.

Both crewmembers, pilot Mohamed Gamal Farag and Captain Mahmoud Fouad, were killed in the accident at Al Ismailiyah Air Base, near Fayed in northeastern Egypt.

http://www.defenceweb.co.za/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=42164:egypt-takes-delivery-of-more-rafales&catid=35:Aerospace&Itemid=107

The aircraft involved are DM04, DM05 and DM06 and join three aircraft already delivered in 2015.

Army spokesman Brig. Gen. Mohamed Samir was quoted as saying the country’s growing fleet of Rafale fighters “represent a huge addition to the air forces’ fleet and are considered a new addition to the armament system and combat readiness, and enhances the combat capabilites of the armed forces.”

Egypt now has a total of six Rafales. The first batch of three aircraft was delivered in July.

Under the deal with France, Egypt ordered 24 Rafales and a FREMM frigate for its Navy. The frigate from DCNS is already operational.

“This deal allows the Egyptian naval and air forces to achieve a special step in its ability to fulfill its missions in supporting efforts to achieve safety and stability in the Middle East,” Samir said.

 

NATO 2015: The Challenges of Hybrid War

2016-01-29 Recently, NATO released the 2015 annual report from the Secretary General.

It has been a busy year for NATO and the report highlights and summarizes many of those activities.

The executive summary to the report highlights developments during the year.

Safeguarding freedom and security has always been NATO’s aim.

As the security environment has evolved, NATO has adapted to ensure that it can deliver for the citizens it was created to defend.

The security environment in 2015 was one of complex challenges and unpredictable threats to the safety of citizens in the Euro-Atlantic area and around the world.

Violent extremism and instability in the Middle East and North Africa persisted, worsening the humanitarian crises in Syria and Iraq, and fuelling the largest flow of refugees in decades. Terrorists attacked in Ankara and Paris, Beirut and San Bernardino. They killed indiscriminately, bombing a plane of Russians on holiday in Egypt, shooting tourists in Tunisia and gunning down concert-goers and others out for an evening in France.

Through these acts, terrorists attempted to disrupt people’s everyday lives and fragment the rules-based societies and systems that are the foundation of stability and prosperity.

Russia continued to pursue a more assertive and unpredictable military posture in 2015. While persisting in illegally occupying parts of Georgia, the Republic of Moldova and Ukraine, and continuing to support separatists fighting in eastern Ukraine, Russia also began a military operation in Syria, not as part of the Global Coalition to Counter ISIL but in support of the Assad regime.

The serious risks associated with ignoring or skirting agreed international rules and procedures were brought to light in 2015, when violations of Turkish airspace led to the downing of a Russian jet.

The hybrid nature of security challenges – combining military and non-military means of inflicting damage or creating instability – also continued to colour the security environment in 2015.

While the notion of hybrid warfare is not new, the scale, speed and intensity of the challenge demanded a new approach to preparing for, deterring, and defending against these threats.

While Russia’s actions have been unpredictable, NATO is committed to transparency and is working to update the mechanisms meant to ensure openness in relation to certain military activities and to restore predictability to the relationship with Russia.

At the same time, NATO is fully committed to the collective defence of all Allies and continues to bolster the readiness and responsiveness of its forces. Throughout 2015, NATO continued to implement the Readiness Action Plan that was agreed at the NATO Summit in Wales, providing assurance for Allies in the eastern part of the Alliance, supporting Turkey as it is faced with instability in the South, and adapting so that NATO is prepared for the challenges of today and tomorrow. These actions have contributed to the most significant reinforcement of NATO’s collective defence in decades.

NATO agreed a hybrid strategy to cope with the fast-moving challenges posed through a range of military and non-military means. The Alliance exercised its forces in a variety of scenarios throughout the year, including in its largest exercise in over a decade, which brought together more than 36,000 troops from over 30 countries.

In 2015, Allies invested in defense and security, developing   and   improving   their   capabilities, including ballistic missile defense, surveillance and reconnaissance, and cyber defense. Allies worked together and with partners on the operations and missions in which NATO is engaged, from training and advising in Afghanistan to maritime monitoring in the Mediterranean.

Terrorist attacks are meant to terrify, but NATO, along with the broader international community, has vowed to strengthen its resolve and continue to develop the ways and means of addressing the challenge. Every member of the Alliance is part of the Global Coalition to Counter ISIL, and NATO is working with its partners in the region to bolster their capacity to provide security and prevent further instability.

NATO deepened its cooperation with partners across a range of areas to build capacity, enhance interoperability and to generate a better understanding of and approach to a variety of shared challenges to security.

NATO provided essential training, assistance and support to Afghanistan through the Resolute Support Mission and agreed to sustain this presence and support during 2016. NATO also maintained its peace-support operation in Kosovo, contributing to the stability and security of the Western Balkans region.

The Alliance continued to stand by Ukraine in 2015, enhancing its support to Ukraine as it works to improve its governance and security structures, despite the ongoing conflict in the eastern part of the country.

In December, NATO invited Montenegro to start accession talks to join the Alliance, affirming the progress that country has made and demonstrating the Alliance’s commitment to its Open Door policy.

In order to pursue all three of the Alliance’s core tasks – collective Defence, crisis management and cooperative security – it is essential that NATO has not only the right policies, capabilities and relationships but that the structures supporting its work are fit for purpose.

To this end, NATO continued to adapt as an institution in 2015, implementing reforms to its civilian and military structures to ensure a modern, efficient, effective and accountable institution.

For the complete report, see the following:

20160128_SG_AnnualReport_2015_en