Dealing with the Sub-Launched HSCM as a “Smaller Chunk” Within Escalation Dominance

03/04/2019
By Edward Timperlake In the first article in the series, we introduced the notion developed by Paul Bracken of breaking escalation dominance into smaller chunks. In his book on the Second Nuclear Age , he argued that mastering the maneuver space for the threat to use nuclear weapons was part…

Putin Works to Shape Escalation Dominance: Challenging the US Navy and the US Kill Web

03/03/2019
By Edward Timperlake President Putin has recently threatened a direct attack against the United States with nuclear weapons if we do not comply with his strategic approach to Europe and the West. The Russian PR machine has kicked in and we have a recent you tube visit from a St.…

Avalon Air Show 2019: The Perspective of Air Marshal Davies

03/01/2019
We will have a chance to interview Air Marshal Davies next month when in Canberra for the latest Williams Foundation Seminar. Air Marshal Davies opened the airshow, an airshow which featured the announcement of the loyal wingman program, with his perspective on the key role of industry and partnering with…

Creating a 21st Century NATO Deterrent Approach: The Role of Nuclear Weapons

02/28/2019
By Robbin Laird The build up of the Russian missile arsenal, short, medium and long range, with clear violations of INF limitations are designed less to create a so-called anti-access and area denial capability than an arsenal designed to make the recovery of classic conventional deterrence seem beyond reach in…

Focusing Munich Multilateralism on a Real Threat: The Russian and Chinese Missile Buildups

02/27/2019
By Richard Weitz Much of this month’s Munich Security Conference saw a reaffirmation of anti-Trumpism nostalgia. This culminated in the poignant silence in the hall that followed Vice President Mike Pence’s passing along President Donald Trump’s greeting to the delegates. But the European speakers did rally behind one good idea…

A Tale of Three Contracts: France Shapes its Global Defense Industrial Posture

02/20/2019
By Robbin Laird One can be forgiven if in looking at Macron’s France you focus on his emphasis on Europe and the prioritization of the next phase of European integration. Yet at the same time, one is witnessing within France the very forces, which are undermining the capability to do…

Post-Brexit UK Defense Policy: The Perspective of the UK Minister of Defence

02/12/2019
We have written a number of pieces looking at the impact of Brexit on European defense and will continue to do so. We believe the impact is significant in many way from a negative perspective, but provides significant openings as well if military and political leaders in Europe focus on…